Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics
Stenhousemuir is the decisive favorite for this encounter, sitting in 2nd place in the table with impressive form—4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Kelty Hearts presents dramatic form, sitting in 10th position with an 80% loss rate at home and without a single win in home matches this season. The visitors have conceded just 1 goal in the last 5 matches, keeping 40% clean sheets away, while the hosts concede an average of 2.5 goals per home match. The difference in offensive quality is also clear—Stenhousemuir has better shot conversion (11% vs 7%) and higher xG (1.1 vs 0.98). Kelty Hearts failed to score in 60% of home matches, which, with a goal difference of -20 at home, makes them a very weak opponent for the group leader playing confidently.
Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kelty Hearts played Stenhousemuir in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Kelty Hearts: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Stenhousemuir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kelty Hearts scores 0.95 and concedes 2.19 goals per match. Stenhousemuir scores 1.29 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kelty Hearts 57%, Stenhousemuir 38%. Over 2.5: Kelty Hearts 71%, Stenhousemuir 38%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Stenhousemuir has higher xG: 1.18 vs 0.95. Kelty Hearts: 6.8 shots per match, Stenhousemuir: 8.5.
Match halves
Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.38. Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (6 goals). Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stenhousemuir is the decisive favorite for this encounter, sitting in 2nd place in the table with impressive form—4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Kelty Hearts presents dramatic form, sitting in 10th position with an 80% loss rate at home and without a single win in home matches this season. The visitors have conceded just 1 goal in the last 5 matches, keeping 40% clean sheets away, while the hosts concede an average of 2.5 goals per home match. The difference in offensive quality is also clear—Stenhousemuir has better shot conversion (11% vs 7%) and higher xG (1.1 vs 0.98). Kelty Hearts failed to score in 60% of home matches, which, with a goal difference of -20 at home, makes them a very weak opponent for the group leader playing confidently.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kelty Hearts | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stenhousemuir is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 2 pts / match - Stenhousemuir
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.29 goals / match - Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir is 188% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.19 goals / match - Kelty Hearts · 0.76 goals / match - Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Stenhousemuir scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stenhousemuir is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Kelty Hearts · 1.38 pts / match - Stenhousemuir
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kelty Hearts
Stenhousemuir
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Kelty Hearts | Liga | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.14 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?
The League One match finished Kelty Hearts 0:2 Stenhousemuir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kelty Hearts and Stenhousemuir?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kelty Hearts won 0, Stenhousemuir won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?
Kelty Hearts score 0.95 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.29. The League One average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Kelty Hearts's matches and 38% of Stenhousemuir's.
What form are Kelty Hearts and Stenhousemuir in?
Over the last 5 games Kelty Hearts have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kelty Hearts vs Stenhousemuir?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.