Kerala Blasters vs Goa: match statistics
Kerala Blasters vs Goa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kerala Blasters played Goa in Indian Super League (India). The match was played on 18 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Kerala Blasters: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Goa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kerala Blasters scores 1.08 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Goa scores 1.17 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kerala Blasters 58%, Goa 42%. Over 2.5: Kerala Blasters 42%, Goa 8%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Goa has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.41. Kerala Blasters: 10.9 shots per match, Goa: 11.7.
Match halves
Kerala Blasters: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Goa: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Kerala Blasters: 76-90+ (4 goals). Goa: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Indian Super League: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kerala Blasters are in better form: in their last 5 matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 10 goals, while Goa in their last five have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss with 8 goals scored. Home side strengths include attacking efficiency at home — Kerala’s average offensive xG in home matches is 1.51, they average 4 shots on target and a conversion rate of 10%, translating to 1.25 goals per home game. Goa, however, have a strong away defense: they concede on average only 0.67 goals away and keep clean sheets in 50% of away matches, with average xG against for visitors on the road of 1.21, whereas Kerala’s xG against at home is 1.41. Season-to-date Kerala have conceded 16 goals versus 9 conceded by Goa, indicating greater defensive instability for the hosts despite their current run. Considering form (average 2.6 points per game for Kerala vs 2.0 for Goa in the last 5), higher attacking xG (1.51 vs 1.39) and better conversion, I give Kerala a slight edge and tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis leans slightly towards a BTTS - Yes scenario: Kerala has BTTS at 80% in the last 5 matches, Goa 40%, and the league BTTS rate is 53%. Both teams produce similar xG values: Kerala xG 1.46, Goa 1.39, totaling 2.85 xG for the match, above the league average 2.48, indicating more goal-scoring chances. Counterpoint is Goa’s high clean sheet rate – 50% this season versus Kerala’s 33% – and Goa’s lower average goals conceded 0.67 vs Kerala 0.83, which reduces BTTS probability. However, Kerala has averaged 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches (10 goals in 5) and posts a higher shot conversion 12% vs Goa 8% and more shots on target 4.0 vs 3.5, increasing the likelihood both sides score. Considering Kerala’s 80% recent BTTS, the 2.85 total xG and the moderate defensive influence from Goa, I assign a 60% edge to Yes vs 40% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate the total goals at 2.60 (1.40 for Kerala Blasters and 1.20 for Goa) based on the last 5 matches: Kerala scores 2.0 goals on average (10 goals in 5 matches), Goa 1.6 (8 goals), and both teams concede on average 0.8 goals each, yielding approximations of 1.4/1.2. xG analysis confirms a similar offensive level — Kerala xG_for 1.46 and Goa xG_for 1.39, with xG_against 1.40 (Kerala) and 1.21 (Goa), leading to a total xG around 2.6–2.7. Seasonally both teams show a high rate of matches over 1.5 goals: 83% for Kerala and 83% for Goa, so I rate Over 1.5 at 83% (Under 17%). Over 2.5 is clearly less likely — seasonal rates are 17% (Kerala) and 0% (Goa), although Kerala had 60% of its last 5 matches over 2.5, so I assign Over 2.5 a 30% probability (Under 70%). I assess Over 3.5 as marginal (10%/90%) due to low seasonal percentages, therefore the strongest betting signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kerala Blasters average 1.33 goals per game this season versus 1.00 for Goa, have a higher xG of 1.46 versus 1.39 and better shot conversion at 12% versus 8%, giving them a slight edge in turning chances into goals. In the last five matches Kerala scored 8 first-half goals (1.6 per game), while Goa had 3 first-half goals (0.6), and the win record of 4 out of 5 (80%) versus 3 out of 5 (60%) confirms the hosts’ superior form. Kerala led at the break in 40% of their last five games, while Goa were level at half-time in 60% of cases, so the most likely scenario is the home side leading after 45 minutes and maintaining that advantage until full-time. Additionally, both teams have similar xG against figures (Kerala 1.4 versus Goa 1.21), which suggests the match will not be one-sided, hence I assign a moderate weight to alternative outcomes (half-time draw or a turnaround after the break). On this basis I pick 1/1 as the strongest signal and assign it a 34% probability, while scenarios 1/X (14%) and X/X (12%) receive secondary shares due to Kerala’s offensive advantage and Goa’s tendency to be level in the first half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kerala Blasters | Goa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kerala Blasters is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Kerala Blasters · 2 pts / match - Goa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Goa is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Kerala Blasters · 1.17 goals / match - Goa
Goa is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Kerala Blasters · 0.75 goals / match - Goa
Kerala Blasters scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Goa keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
Goa scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Kerala Blasters keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kerala Blasters
Over / Under - Goa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Goa is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Kerala Blasters · 1.42 pts / match - Goa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kerala Blasters - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Goa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kerala Blasters
Goa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| Kerala Blasters | Liga | Goa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.42 | 2.45 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 42% | 41% | ▼ 8% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 29% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 68% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kerala Blasters 0 - 0 - 2 Goa. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kerala Blasters vs Goa?
The Indian Super League match finished Kerala Blasters 2:1 Goa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kerala Blasters and Goa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kerala Blasters won 0, Goa won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kerala Blasters vs Goa?
Kerala Blasters score 1.08 goals per game on average and Goa 1.17. The Indian Super League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Kerala Blasters's matches and 42% of Goa's.
What form are Kerala Blasters and Goa in?
Over the last 5 games Kerala Blasters have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Goa 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kerala Blasters vs Goa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.