KÍ vs Víkingur: match statistics

KÍ sit 2nd in the table and have won 14 of 26 matches, while fourth-placed Víkingur have recorded 10 wins in 26 games. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 3; the visitors have remained unbeaten during that spell, but have won only twice and conceded 5 goals. At home, KÍ average 1.62 goals from an xG of 1.71, while Víkingur score 1.25 goals per away game from an xG of 1.56, pointing to an advantage for the hosts in finishing. KÍ also look stronger defensively, allowing chances worth an average xG of 0.99 at home, compared with 1.41 in Víkingur's away matches. Since the visitors have drawn 3 of their last 5 games, a share of the points remains a realistic outcome, but the attacking and defensive records favour KÍ.

BTTS has landed in 57% of KÍ matches and 58% of Víkingur matches, giving a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score. The hosts average 1.64 goals per match and the visitors 1.25, with xG figures of 1.74 and 1.56 respectively, so both sides regularly create chances. KÍ’s chances are boosted by the fact that Víkingur concede chances worth an average of 1.41 xG, while the hosts allow 1.23 xG. However, caution is advised: KÍ have kept a clean sheet in 43% of their matches, and BTTS landed just once in their last 5 games. Even so, Víkingur have recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches, so the pick for both teams to score carries a slight, rather than decisive, edge.

KÍ average 1.64 goals per match, while Víkingur average 1.25; their xG averages are 1.74 and 1.56, respectively, pointing to scoring potential at both ends. Over their last 5 matches, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals scored and the visitors 1.6, although KÍ conceded just 0.6 goals per match over that period. At least 2 goals were scored in 71% of KÍ matches and 67% of Víkingur matches, so Over 1.5 has stronger statistical support than Over 2.5, which landed in 64% and 42% of their matches, respectively. A forecast total of 2.70 goals supports selecting Over 1.5 as the most likely side among the lines considered.

The strongest signal is KÍ leading at the break: the hosts held a half-time lead in 43% of their home matches and never went into the break trailing, while Víkingur were behind at half-time in 33% of their away matches. In their last five games, KÍ led after the first half four times, further strengthening the 1/1 scenario. The hosts’ average xG of 1.74 compared with the visitors’ 1.56, as well as their better record over the last five matches—1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, compared with Víkingur’s 1.6 and 1.0 respectively—support the expectation that they will maintain their lead. However, confidence in the pick is tempered by draws in 57% of KÍ’s home matches and the visitors’ strong second-half performances, conceding an average of just 0.33 goals, so draw-related outcomes also carry a significant probability.