Kilmarnock vs Dundee United: match statistics
Kilmarnock vs Dundee United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kilmarnock played Dundee United in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Kilmarnock: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dundee United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kilmarnock scores 1.09 and concedes 1.94 goals per match. Dundee United scores 1.41 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kilmarnock 56%, Dundee United 59%. Over 2.5: Kilmarnock 62%, Dundee United 53%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Dundee United has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.28. Kilmarnock: 11.2 shots per match, Dundee United: 13.4.
Match halves
Kilmarnock: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.44. Dundee United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (11 goals). Dundee United: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dundee United appear favored due to superior finishing and form: the visitors have scored 48 goals this season versus Kilmarnock’s 37 and have netted 12 goals in the last 5 matches compared to 5 for the hosts. The visitors have a higher conversion rate of 13% versus 10% and average 4.38 shots on target per match vs 4 for Kilmarnock, translating to 2.0 points per match in the last 5 fixtures versus 1.4 for the hosts. Kilmarnock, however, shows better home xG figures (xG for 1.46 vs 1.37 for Dundee away) and concedes fewer goals at home (1.59 vs 2.00 conceded on the road for Dundee), while the home clean sheet rate is 29% versus just 6% for the visitors. The average total goals indicate a tendency toward open games (3.5 for visitors’ matches vs 2.88 for hosts’ matches), but the edge in finishing and recent results (12 goals and 2.0 PPG vs 5 goals and 1.4 PPG) supports a bet on an away win for Dundee United.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 70% vs 30% probability because the available figures indicate strong chances for both teams to score. Dundee has a season BTTS rate of 69% and only 6% clean sheets, and in the last 5 matches they averaged 2.4 goals scored, which strongly suggests they rarely fail to find the net. Kilmarnock at home generates xG 1.58 with an average of 14.61 shots and a seasonal goals average of 1.33, while Dundee away concedes on average 2.0 goals, so the hosts have a realistic chance to score. Additionally, the league BTTS is 51%, and season numbers (Kilmarnock 50% BTTS, Dundee 69% BTTS and 48 goals scored and 54 conceded for Dundee) support the both teams to score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and averages I expect roughly 3.17 goals in the match: Kilmarnock has xG 1.58 and Dundee United’s defense concedes xG 1.69, translating to ≈1.63 goals for the hosts; Dundee United has xG 1.37 and Kilmarnock’s defense concedes xG 1.70, giving ≈1.54 goals for the visitors. Season shares of matches over 1.5 are 83% for Kilmarnock and 100% for Dundee United, and the percentages of matches with both teams scoring are 50% and 69%, so the chance of at least two goals is very high — hence Over 1.5 (92%). In the last 5 matches Dundee United scores on average 2.4 goals, Kilmarnock 1.0, which pushes the probability of Over 2.5 to about 63% (seasonal 50%/56%); Over 3.5 remains less certain. For these reasons I recommend the strongest signal: a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a half-time draw and a home win at full-time (X/1) as the most likely scenario. Kilmarnock were level at the break in 39% of matches, Dundee United in 19%, which together gives roughly a 29% chance of a draw after 45 minutes and supports X at HT. Over the 90 minutes the hosts show superior metrics: Kilmarnock average 1.5 points per home game versus 1.0 for Dundee, win 39% of home fixtures compared to just 19% away wins for the visitors, and the home xG is 1.58 versus 1.37 for the away side. After the break Kilmarnock score on average 0.83 goals while Dundee concede 1.19 goals in second halves; additionally the visitors have only 6% of away matches as clean sheets this season versus 28% for the hosts, which increases the probability that Kilmarnock will break the deadlock and win after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dundee United is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 2 pts / match - Dundee United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundee United is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.41 goals / match - Dundee United
Dundee United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.94 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.59 goals / match - Dundee United
Kilmarnock scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Dundee United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Dundee United scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - Dundee United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 1.18 pts / match - Dundee United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dundee United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kilmarnock
Dundee United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.75 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 52% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kilmarnock 1 - 2 - 0 Dundee United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 3:0 Dundee United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Dundee United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 1, Dundee United won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Kilmarnock score 1.09 goals per game on average and Dundee United 1.41. The Premiership average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Kilmarnock's matches and 59% of Dundee United's.
What form are Kilmarnock and Dundee United in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dundee United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Dundee United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kilmarnock vs Dundee United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.