Kilmarnock vs Falkirk: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kilmarnock play Falkirk in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 20 December 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Kilmarnock: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Falkirk: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kilmarnock scores 1.32 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Falkirk scores 1.32 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kilmarnock 55%, Falkirk 53%. Over 2.5: Kilmarnock 66%, Falkirk 58%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Falkirk has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.31. Kilmarnock: 11.4 shots per match, Falkirk: 11.8.

Match halves

Kilmarnock: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.63. Falkirk: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (12 goals). Falkirk: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
KilmarnockFalkirk
15Shots9
KilmarnockFalkirk
2Shots on target4
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.52xG1.08
KilmarnockFalkirk
2Corners2
KilmarnockFalkirk
58Dangerous attacks30
KilmarnockFalkirk
12Fouls12
KilmarnockFalkirk
2Cards1
KilmarnockFalkirk

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.32Goals scored / match1.32
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.79Goals conceded / match1.63
KilmarnockFalkirk
42%Average possession51%
KilmarnockFalkirk
3.95Shots on target / match3.76
KilmarnockFalkirk

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.39Shots per match11.79
KilmarnockFalkirk
3.95Shots on target3.76
KilmarnockFalkirk
11.5%Shot conversion11.2%
KilmarnockFalkirk
42%Possession51%
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.31xG for1.34
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.64xG against1.48
KilmarnockFalkirk

Shooting quality

Kilmarnock: BalancedFalkirk: Balanced
KilmarnockFalkirk
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kilmarnock is 300% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 0.6 pts / match - Falkirk

Kilmarnock
LWWWW
Season result split
26% W26% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-18
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-8
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Falkirk
LWLLL
Season result split
37% W18% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-17
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-9
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Falkirk is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.79 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.63 goals / match - Falkirk

Kilmarnock scoring profile: very strong

Kilmarnock scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

Falkirk scoring profile: very strong

Falkirk scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

50Goals scored (season)50
KilmarnockFalkirk
68Goals conceded (season)62
KilmarnockFalkirk
3.11Average goals in match2.95
KilmarnockFalkirk
13Goals scored (last 5)5
KilmarnockFalkirk
3Goals conceded (last 5)14
KilmarnockFalkirk

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal71%
KilmarnockFalkirk
37%2 goals37%
KilmarnockFalkirk
16%3 goals16%
KilmarnockFalkirk
5%4 goals5%
KilmarnockFalkirk

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal76%
KilmarnockFalkirk
53%2 goals45%
KilmarnockFalkirk
34%3 goals26%
KilmarnockFalkirk
11%4 goals8%
KilmarnockFalkirk

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
KilmarnockFalkirk
5%BTTS in both halves8%
KilmarnockFalkirk
24%Scored in both halves18%
KilmarnockFalkirk

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
KilmarnockFalkirk
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
KilmarnockFalkirk
40%BTTS - last 560%
KilmarnockFalkirk

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
KilmarnockFalkirk
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
KilmarnockFalkirk
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
KilmarnockFalkirk

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
KilmarnockFalkirk
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
KilmarnockFalkirk
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
KilmarnockFalkirk

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kilmarnock is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 0.95 pts / match - Falkirk

Kilmarnock - half-time state
39% leading24% draw37% trailing
Falkirk - half-time state
21% leading32% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)0.95
KilmarnockFalkirk
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.58
KilmarnockFalkirk
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.89
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.39Average goals (1st half)1.47
KilmarnockFalkirk
50%Clean sheet before half-time39%
KilmarnockFalkirk
50%No goal before half-time68%
KilmarnockFalkirk

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)1.42
KilmarnockFalkirk
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.74
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.47
KilmarnockFalkirk
39%Clean sheet after half-time47%
KilmarnockFalkirk
53%No goal after half-time42%
KilmarnockFalkirk

Kilmarnock - second-half results

26% W29% R45% P
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Falkirk - second-half results

39% W24% R37% P
36
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kilmarnock - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+8
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Falkirk - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match2.00.8
Average goals in match2.41.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-8-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
4
10
0-15
10
11
16-30
12
6
31-45
9
14
46-60
5
11
61-75
10
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Falkirk
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
8
12
16-30
6
18
31-45
10
9
46-60
12
8
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.03
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Falkirk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

KilmarnockLigaFalkirk
Average goals in match 3.112.78 2.95
Both teams scored 55%52% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 66%53% 58%
Clean sheets 24%28% 24%
Goal before half-time 82%76% 74%
Goal after half-time 84%80% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Kilmarnock 0 - 0 - 2 Falkirk. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Falkirk FC
5 : 1
Kilmarnock FC
Falkirk FC
3 : 1
Kilmarnock FC

FAQ

What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Falkirk?

The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 0:1 Falkirk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Falkirk?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 0, Falkirk won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Falkirk?

Kilmarnock score 1.32 goals per game on average and Falkirk 1.32. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Kilmarnock's matches and 53% of Falkirk's.

What form are Kilmarnock and Falkirk in?

Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Falkirk 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Falkirk?

The statistical background for Kilmarnock vs Falkirk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.