Kilmarnock vs Falkirk: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kilmarnock played Falkirk in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Kilmarnock: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Falkirk: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kilmarnock scores 1.00 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Falkirk scores 1.12 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.61 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kilmarnock 59%, Falkirk 53%. Over 2.5: Kilmarnock 65%, Falkirk 65%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Falkirk has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.23. Kilmarnock: 10.5 shots per match, Falkirk: 11.0.

Match halves

Kilmarnock: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.41. Falkirk: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (6 goals). Falkirk: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
KilmarnockFalkirk
15Shots9
KilmarnockFalkirk
2Shots on target4
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.52xG1.08
KilmarnockFalkirk
2Corners2
KilmarnockFalkirk
58Dangerous attacks30
KilmarnockFalkirk
12Fouls12
KilmarnockFalkirk
2Cards1
KilmarnockFalkirk

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.12
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.88Goals conceded / match1.53
KilmarnockFalkirk
38%Average possession50%
KilmarnockFalkirk
3.88Shots on target / match3.88
KilmarnockFalkirk

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.53Shots per match11
KilmarnockFalkirk
3.88Shots on target3.88
KilmarnockFalkirk
9.5%Shot conversion10.2%
KilmarnockFalkirk
38%Possession50%
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.23xG for1.29
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.57xG against1.56
KilmarnockFalkirk

Shooting quality

Kilmarnock: BalancedFalkirk: Balanced
KilmarnockFalkirk
Accuracy (shots on target)37%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Falkirk is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 1 pts / match - Falkirk

Kilmarnock
LDDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
12% W35% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-9
0.71 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-5
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Falkirk
WDDLL
Season result split
29% W35% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-6
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Falkirk is 12% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.12 goals / match - Falkirk

Falkirk is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.88 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.53 goals / match - Falkirk

Kilmarnock scoring profile: very strong

Kilmarnock scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

Falkirk scoring profile: very strong

Falkirk scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).

17Goals scored (season)19
KilmarnockFalkirk
32Goals conceded (season)26
KilmarnockFalkirk
2.88Average goals in match2.65
KilmarnockFalkirk
4Goals scored (last 5)3
KilmarnockFalkirk
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
KilmarnockFalkirk

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal65%
KilmarnockFalkirk
29%2 goals35%
KilmarnockFalkirk
0%3 goals12%
KilmarnockFalkirk
0%4 goals0%
KilmarnockFalkirk

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal76%
KilmarnockFalkirk
65%2 goals47%
KilmarnockFalkirk
35%3 goals24%
KilmarnockFalkirk
6%4 goals6%
KilmarnockFalkirk

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time6%
KilmarnockFalkirk
6%BTTS in both halves0%
KilmarnockFalkirk
18%Scored in both halves12%
KilmarnockFalkirk

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
KilmarnockFalkirk
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS24%
KilmarnockFalkirk
80%BTTS - last 50%
KilmarnockFalkirk

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
KilmarnockFalkirk
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
KilmarnockFalkirk
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
KilmarnockFalkirk

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
KilmarnockFalkirk
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
KilmarnockFalkirk
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
KilmarnockFalkirk

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kilmarnock is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 0.76 pts / match - Falkirk

Kilmarnock - half-time state
29% leading29% draw41% trailing
Falkirk - half-time state
18% leading24% draw59% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)0.76
KilmarnockFalkirk
0.59Goals scored (1st half)0.41
KilmarnockFalkirk
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.29
KilmarnockFalkirk
47%Clean sheet before half-time41%
KilmarnockFalkirk
53%No goal before half-time76%
KilmarnockFalkirk

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)1.41
KilmarnockFalkirk
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.12Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
KilmarnockFalkirk
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.35
KilmarnockFalkirk
35%Clean sheet after half-time47%
KilmarnockFalkirk
59%No goal after half-time47%
KilmarnockFalkirk

Kilmarnock - second-half results

18% W35% D47% L
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding41%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Falkirk - second-half results

41% W18% D41% L
13
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kilmarnock - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Falkirk - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
4
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
3
6
46-60
1
6
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Falkirk
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
6
16-30
2
8
31-45
3
2
46-60
6
4
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
162%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Falkirk

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

KilmarnockLigaFalkirk
Average goals in match 2.882.61 2.65
Both teams scored 59%51% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%53% 65%
Clean sheets 18%29% 24%
Goal before half-time 82%76% 76%
Goal after half-time 82%80% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.61
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FalkirkYellow cardHenry Cartwright
  2. FalkirkSubstitutionOn: Finn YeatsOff: Henry Cartwright
  3. FalkirkGoalBrian GrahamAssist: Kyrell Wilson
  4. KilmarnockYellow cardLiam Polworth
  5. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Scott TiffoneyOff: Liam Polworth
  6. FalkirkSubstitutionOn: Sam HartOff: Leon McCann
  7. KilmarnockSubstitutionOn: Thomas Richard LoweryOff: Tyreece John-Jules
  8. FalkirkSubstitutionOn: Ryan EdwardsOff: Calvin Miller
  9. KilmarnockYellow cardLewis Mayo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Ryan LeeMatches officiated: 15
3.93Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 247%Home wins13%Draws40%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Kilmarnock 0 - 0 - 1 Falkirk. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Falkirk FC
3 : 1
Kilmarnock FC

FAQ

What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Falkirk?

The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 0:1 Falkirk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Falkirk?

Kilmarnock score 1.00 goals per game on average and Falkirk 1.12. The Premiership average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Kilmarnock's matches and 53% of Falkirk's.

What form are Kilmarnock and Falkirk in?

Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Falkirk 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Falkirk?

The statistical background for Kilmarnock vs Falkirk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.