Kilmarnock vs Hibernian: match statistics
Hibernian is displaying significantly better form than Kilmarnock, confirmed by their record over the last five matches—the visitors have averaged 2.0 points per game compared to a mere 0.2 for the hosts. Kilmarnock is in dismal shape with a five-game losing streak, remaining winless in their last five outings, while Hibernian has won three of their last five fixtures. The hosts' home statistics are alarming, showing a 60% loss rate, only 10% wins, and failure to score in 50% of matches. Hibernian boasts superior finishing efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 6% for the hosts) and a positive away goal difference (+1) compared to Kilmarnock's home deficit (-9). The disparity in quality and form clearly favors the visitors, though the difficulty of away fixtures and Hibernian's 40% away draw rate mean a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
Kilmarnock vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kilmarnock played Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Kilmarnock: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Hibernian: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kilmarnock scores 0.90 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Hibernian scores 1.65 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kilmarnock 55%, Hibernian 50%. Over 2.5: Kilmarnock 60%, Hibernian 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Hibernian has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.23. Kilmarnock: 10.7 shots per match, Hibernian: 13.3.
Match halves
Kilmarnock: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.35. Hibernian: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (7 goals). Hibernian: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernian is displaying significantly better form than Kilmarnock, confirmed by their record over the last five matches—the visitors have averaged 2.0 points per game compared to a mere 0.2 for the hosts. Kilmarnock is in dismal shape with a five-game losing streak, remaining winless in their last five outings, while Hibernian has won three of their last five fixtures. The hosts' home statistics are alarming, showing a 60% loss rate, only 10% wins, and failure to score in 50% of matches. Hibernian boasts superior finishing efficiency (11% shot conversion vs 6% for the hosts) and a positive away goal difference (+1) compared to Kilmarnock's home deficit (-9). The disparity in quality and form clearly favors the visitors, though the difficulty of away fixtures and Hibernian's 40% away draw rate mean a share of the points cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hibernian is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 2 pts / match - Hibernian
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hibernian is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.65 goals / match - Hibernian
Hibernian is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.1 goals / match - Hibernian
Kilmarnock scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Hibernian scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - Hibernian
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hibernian is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 1.65 pts / match - Hibernian
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 79% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kilmarnock 0 - 1 - 0 Hibernian. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?
The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 1:3 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?
Kilmarnock score 0.90 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.65. The Premiership average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Kilmarnock's matches and 50% of Hibernian's.
What form are Kilmarnock and Hibernian in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hibernian 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Hibernian?
The statistical background for Kilmarnock vs Hibernian — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.