Kilmarnock vs Livingston: match statistics
Kilmarnock display significantly better home form than Livingston's away form. The hosts have won 27% of their home matches and have a goal difference of -7 compared to the visitors' catastrophic away goal difference of -19. Livingston have not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), with 47% of their matches ending without scoring a goal. Kilmarnock hold the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.46 vs 1.03), shooting accuracy (4.07 vs 2.87 shots on target per match), and possession (44% vs 41%). The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts – Kilmarnock have averaged 1.4 points per game in their last five matches, while Livingston have managed only 0.8 points. Considering all statistics, a Kilmarnock victory is the most likely outcome, although the poor efficiency of both sides means a draw is also a realistic possibility.
Kilmarnock vs Livingston: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kilmarnock played Livingston in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Kilmarnock: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Livingston: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kilmarnock scores 1.10 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Livingston scores 1.03 and concedes 1.97. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kilmarnock 60%, Livingston 70%. Over 2.5: Kilmarnock 63%, Livingston 63%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Kilmarnock has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.13. Kilmarnock: 10.9 shots per match, Livingston: 9.4.
Match halves
Kilmarnock: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.47. Livingston: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (10 goals). Livingston: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kilmarnock display significantly better home form than Livingston's away form. The hosts have won 27% of their home matches and have a goal difference of -7 compared to the visitors' catastrophic away goal difference of -19. Livingston have not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), with 47% of their matches ending without scoring a goal. Kilmarnock hold the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.46 vs 1.03), shooting accuracy (4.07 vs 2.87 shots on target per match), and possession (44% vs 41%). The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts – Kilmarnock have averaged 1.4 points per game in their last five matches, while Livingston have managed only 0.8 points. Considering all statistics, a Kilmarnock victory is the most likely outcome, although the poor efficiency of both sides means a draw is also a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kilmarnock is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 0.8 pts / match - Livingston
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kilmarnock is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.03 goals / match - Livingston
Kilmarnock scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 30 matches).
Livingston scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - Livingston
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 0.9 pts / match - Livingston
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Livingston - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 3%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kilmarnock
Livingston
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 51% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 29% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kilmarnock 0 - 2 - 0 Livingston. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs Livingston?
The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 2:0 Livingston. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Livingston?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 0, Livingston won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs Livingston?
Kilmarnock score 1.10 goals per game on average and Livingston 1.03. The Premiership average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Kilmarnock's matches and 70% of Livingston's.
What form are Kilmarnock and Livingston in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Livingston 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs Livingston?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kilmarnock vs Livingston: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.