Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone: match statistics
Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kilmarnock played St. Johnstone in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Rugby Park. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Kilmarnock: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. St. Johnstone: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kilmarnock scores 1.00 and concedes 2.36 goals per match. St. Johnstone scores 1.18 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kilmarnock 55%, St. Johnstone 64%. Over 2.5: Kilmarnock 64%, St. Johnstone 45%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Kilmarnock has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.20. Kilmarnock: 11.1 shots per match, St. Johnstone: 10.4.
Match halves
Kilmarnock: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64. St. Johnstone: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Kilmarnock: 46-60 (4 goals). St. Johnstone: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kilmarnock hold a slight edge thanks to more effective attacking play: they average 1 goal per game at home, while St. Johnstone score just 0.6 away from home. The hosts also create chances worth 1.22 xG, compared with the visitors’ 1.08 xG, and have scored 6 goals in their last five matches, against their opponents’ 3. However, their defence is a major concern, as they concede an average of 2.6 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.6 away. Both teams have lost 60% of their matches in these conditions, so Kilmarnock’s advantage is marginal, and a draw or a St. Johnstone win remain realistic outcomes.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is St. Johnstone’s poor finishing: the visitors score an average of 0.6 goals per match and have failed to score in 40% of their games. They also average just 2.4 shots on target per match, compared with Kilmarnock’s 4.4, and have a shot conversion rate of 6% versus the hosts’ 15%. Kilmarnock concede an average of 1.4 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet, so an away goal remains a realistic possibility. Even so, St. Johnstone have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, while BTTS has landed in 40% of their games compared with 80% of Kilmarnock’s. The risk of the visitors failing to score slightly outweighs the indication provided by the hosts’ weak defence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The pick is Under 3.5 goals, as 80% of each team’s matches have finished below this line. Kilmarnock average 1.6 goals at home, while St. Johnstone score just 0.6 away from home, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game from either side. The hosts average 4.4 shots on target compared with 2.4 for the visitors, so they are expected to account for the larger share of the projected 2.5 goals. Although the teams’ average xG against is 1.59 and 1.81 respectively, only 40% of each side’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals. The 3.5 line therefore offers more protection than 2.5 and is best supported by the results to date.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1: Kilmarnock led at the break in 2 of their 5 home matches and were never behind, while St. Johnstone were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 5 away games. The hosts average 0.8 goals scored before the break at home, while the visitors have scored just 0.2 goals away in that period and failed to score in 4 of 5 matches. Their full-match advantage also supports them holding on to the lead: Kilmarnock average 1.6 goals at home, compared with St. Johnstone’s 0.6 away, and record 4.4 shots on target to their opponents’ 2.4. A draw at half-time remains a significant alternative, having occurred in 3 of Kilmarnock’s 5 home matches, so X/1 also carries a high probability. However, if the hosts take an early lead, the visitors’ weaker second-half scoring record—an average of 0.4 goals away—favours the scoreline holding until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kilmarnock | St. Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Johnstone is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 1.2 pts / match - St. Johnstone
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Johnstone is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.18 goals / match - St. Johnstone
St. Johnstone is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.36 goals / match - Kilmarnock · 1.55 goals / match - St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while St. Johnstone keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
St. Johnstone scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
Over / Under - St. Johnstone
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Johnstone is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Kilmarnock · 1.36 pts / match - St. Johnstone
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
St. Johnstone - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Kilmarnock | Liga | St. Johnstone | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.36 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 83% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kilmarnock 0 - 0 - 1 St. Johnstone. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?
The Premiership match finished Kilmarnock 2:2 St. Johnstone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?
Kilmarnock score 1.00 goals per game on average and St. Johnstone 1.18. The Premiership average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Kilmarnock's matches and 64% of St. Johnstone's.
What form are Kilmarnock and St. Johnstone in?
Over the last 5 games Kilmarnock have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and St. Johnstone 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.