Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 30 August 2026

Kitara vs Mbarara City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kitara vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kitara play Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 1 September 2026.

Current form

Kitara: 0-1-0, 1.00 points/match. Mbarara City: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kitara scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 0.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kitara 100%, Mbarara City 0%. Over 2.5: Kitara 0%, Mbarara City 0%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 22%.

xG, shots and style

Mbarara City has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.24. Kitara: 9.0 shots per match, Mbarara City: 18.0.

Match halves

Kitara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Mbarara City: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Kitara: 76-90+ (1 goals). Mbarara City: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 1.56 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 22%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match0
KitaraMbarara City
1Goals conceded / match1
KitaraMbarara City
50%Average possession52%
KitaraMbarara City
1Shots on target / match5
KitaraMbarara City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9Shots per match18
KitaraMbarara City
1Shots on target5
KitaraMbarara City
11.1%Shot conversion0%
KitaraMbarara City
50%Possession52%
KitaraMbarara City
1.24xG for1.99
KitaraMbarara City
0.98xG against1.53
KitaraMbarara City

Shooting quality

Kitara: BalancedMbarara City: Attacking
KitaraMbarara City
Accuracy (shots on target)11%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)1.000.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kitara
D
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W100% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 0%
Mbarara City
L
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-1
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kitara scoring profile: very strong

Kitara scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

Mbarara City scoring profile: mixed

Mbarara City scores in 0% of matches (0 of 1 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).

1Goals scored (season)0
KitaraMbarara City
1Goals conceded (season)1
KitaraMbarara City
2Average goals in match1
KitaraMbarara City
1Goals scored (last 5)0
KitaraMbarara City
1Goals conceded (last 5)1
KitaraMbarara City

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%2 goals0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%3 goals0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%4 goals0%
KitaraMbarara City

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
KitaraMbarara City
0%2 goals0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%3 goals0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%4 goals0%
KitaraMbarara City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%Scored in both halves0%
KitaraMbarara City

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
KitaraMbarara City
100%BTTS - last 50%
KitaraMbarara City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
KitaraMbarara City

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
KitaraMbarara City
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
KitaraMbarara City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kitara - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing
Mbarara City - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0Points per match (1st half)1
KitaraMbarara City
0Goals scored (1st half)0
KitaraMbarara City
1Goals conceded (1st half)0
KitaraMbarara City
1Average goals (1st half)0
KitaraMbarara City
0%Clean sheet before half-time100%
KitaraMbarara City
100%No goal before half-time100%
KitaraMbarara City

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per match (2nd half)0
KitaraMbarara City
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
KitaraMbarara City
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
KitaraMbarara City
1Average goals (2nd half)1
KitaraMbarara City
100%Clean sheet after half-time0%
KitaraMbarara City
0%No goal after half-time100%
KitaraMbarara City

Kitara - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-1.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mbarara City - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kitara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.003.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.0
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Mbarara City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.01.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kitara
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Mbarara City
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kitara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

Mbarara City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.99
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

KitaraLigaMbarara City
Average goals in match 2.001.56 1.00
Both teams scored 100%33% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%22% 0%
Clean sheets 0%39% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%56% 0%
Goal after half-time 100%56% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.56
Average goals per match
33%
Both teams scored
22%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.78
Home goals / match
0.78
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
0%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Kitara 2 - 0 - 0 Mbarara City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Mbarara City
0 : 1
Kitara
Kitara
3 : 2
Mbarara City

FAQ

When do Kitara and Mbarara City play?

Kitara face Mbarara City on 1 September 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kitara and Mbarara City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kitara won 2, Mbarara City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kitara vs Mbarara City?

Kitara score 1.00 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 0.00. The Uganda Premier League average is 1.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 22% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Kitara's matches and 0% of Mbarara City's.

What form are Kitara and Mbarara City in?

Over the last 5 games Kitara have a 0-1-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Mbarara City 0-0-1 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitara vs Mbarara City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.