Kitayosce vs Mbeya City: match statistics
Kitayosce displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and 75% clean sheets at home, which forms a solid foundation for victory. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five home matches (2 wins, 2 draws), while Mbeya City loses as many as 71% of away matches and has only managed one win in their last seven away fixtures. The difference in average goals scored is substantial - Kitayosce averages 1.5 goals at home, while Mbeya City only 0.71 away, with the visitors failing to score in 57% of their away matches. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.45 vs 1.11), and the goal difference confirms Kitayosce's advantage (+4 at home compared to Mbeya City's -5 away). Taking all these factors into account, a home win is the most likely scenario for this match.
Kitayosce vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kitayosce played Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Kitayosce: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mbeya City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kitayosce scores 1.10 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Mbeya City scores 0.69 and concedes 1.31. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kitayosce 40%, Mbeya City 31%. Over 2.5: Kitayosce 40%, Mbeya City 31%. League level: BTTS 28%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Mbeya City has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.00. Kitayosce: 5.8 shots per match, Mbeya City: 5.2.
Match halves
Kitayosce: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.40. Mbeya City: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.23.
Goals by minute
Kitayosce: 0-15 (5 goals). Mbeya City: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 28%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kitayosce displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate and 75% clean sheets at home, which forms a solid foundation for victory. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five home matches (2 wins, 2 draws), while Mbeya City loses as many as 71% of away matches and has only managed one win in their last seven away fixtures. The difference in average goals scored is substantial - Kitayosce averages 1.5 goals at home, while Mbeya City only 0.71 away, with the visitors failing to score in 57% of their away matches. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.45 vs 1.11), and the goal difference confirms Kitayosce's advantage (+4 at home compared to Mbeya City's -5 away). Taking all these factors into account, a home win is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kitayosce | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.65 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kitayosce is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kitayosce · 0.4 pts / match - Mbeya City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitayosce is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Kitayosce · 0.69 goals / match - Mbeya City
Kitayosce is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Kitayosce · 1.31 goals / match - Mbeya City
Kitayosce scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Mbeya City scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Kitayosce keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kitayosce
Over / Under - Mbeya City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitayosce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kitayosce
Mbeya City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Kitayosce | Liga | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 40% | 44% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 47% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Kitayosce 0:2 Mbeya City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
Kitayosce score 1.10 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 0.69. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Kitayosce's matches and 31% of Mbeya City's.
What form are Kitayosce and Mbeya City in?
Over the last 5 games Kitayosce have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mbeya City 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitayosce vs Mbeya City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.