Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of 23 July 2026

Kitayosce vs Mtibwa Sugar: match statistics

Kitayosce crest
Kitayosce
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Mtibwa Sugar crest
Mtibwa Sugar

Kitayosce vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kitayosce play Mtibwa Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 20 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Kitayosce: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kitayosce scores 1.10 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kitayosce 33%, Mtibwa Sugar 50%. Over 2.5: Kitayosce 40%, Mtibwa Sugar 53%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Kitayosce has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.00. Kitayosce: 6.2 shots per match, Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5.

Match halves

Kitayosce: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.47. Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Kitayosce: 0-15 (8 goals). Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Kitayosce has a clear home advantage: they score an average of 1.33 goals and concede only 0.5 goals per match, and keep a clean sheet in 67% of home games. Mtibwa Sugar are extremely ineffective away — they score just 0.3 goals per match, have no away wins (0% wins) and failed to score in 70% of their away fixtures. The quality gap is also visible in shots and xG: Kitayosce produce 9.27 shots and xG 1.38 at home with a 14% conversion rate, while Mtibwa average 4.57 shots, xG 0.86 and a 3% conversion on the road. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 9 goals and have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, averaging 2 points per game; the visitors scored 5 goals, conceded 13, with 1 win and 4 losses and an average of 0.6 points per game. Considering the hosts’ solid defense (0.5 goals conceded at home) and the visitors’ dreadful away efficiency (0.3 goals and 70% of matches without a goal), I predict a home win.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
10Shots9
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
7Shots on target4
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
1.82xG1.33
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
13Corners3
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
97Dangerous attacks65
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
-1Fouls-1
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
-1Cards-1
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
1.1Goals scored / match0.83
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
0.93Goals conceded / match1.6
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
42%Average possession29%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
2.27Shots on target / match1.2
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.23Shots per match3.5
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
2.27Shots on target1.2
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
17.6%Shot conversion23.8%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
42%Possession29%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
1.25xG for1
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
1.3xG against1.58
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

Shooting quality

Kitayosce: Counter-attackingMtibwa Sugar: Counter-attacking
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
Accuracy (shots on target)36%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.29
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.69

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kitayosce
WDDLD
Season result split
37% W33% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-9
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Mtibwa Sugar
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-15
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-5-10
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kitayosce is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Kitayosce · 0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar

Kitayosce is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.93 goals / match - Kitayosce · 1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar

Kitayosce scoring profile: strong

Kitayosce scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

Mtibwa Sugar scoring profile: mixed

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Kitayosce keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).

33Goals scored (season)25
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
28Goals conceded (season)48
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
2.03Average goals in match2.43
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
2Goals scored (last 5)2
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
4Goals conceded (last 5)12
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal57%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
30%2 goals20%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
17%3 goals3%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
7%4 goals3%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal80%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
27%2 goals47%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
10%3 goals27%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
0%4 goals7%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time23%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
13%Scored in both halves17%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
20%BTTS - last 540%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
23%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kitayosce is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Kitayosce · 0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar

Kitayosce - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing
Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
7% leading47% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)0.67
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
0.53Goals scored (1st half)0.33
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
1Average goals (1st half)1.2
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
60%Clean sheet before half-time33%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
67%No goal before half-time70%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)1.03
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
0.9Average goals (2nd half)1.17
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
67%Clean sheet after half-time53%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar
67%No goal after half-time60%
KitayosceMtibwa Sugar

Kitayosce - second-half results

27% W50% R23% P
34
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding185%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

23% W33% R43% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding286%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kitayosce - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.40.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kitayosce
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
1
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
3
8
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
18%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kitayosce

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

KitayosceLigaMtibwa Sugar
Average goals in match 2.032.17 2.43
Both teams scored 33%35% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%39% 53%
Clean sheets 43%39% 20%
Goal before half-time 57%60% 73%
Goal after half-time 57%63% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.17
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Kitayosce 0 - 0 - 1 Mtibwa Sugar. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Kitayosce vs Mtibwa Sugar?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Kitayosce 2:1 Mtibwa Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kitayosce vs Mtibwa Sugar?

Kitayosce score 1.10 goals per game on average and Mtibwa Sugar 0.83. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kitayosce's matches and 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's.

What form are Kitayosce and Mtibwa Sugar in?

Over the last 5 games Kitayosce have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mtibwa Sugar 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitayosce vs Mtibwa Sugar?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.