Kitayosce vs Singida Black Stars: match statistics
Kitayosce vs Singida Black Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kitayosce played Singida Black Stars in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Kitayosce: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Singida Black Stars: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kitayosce scores 1.06 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Singida Black Stars scores 0.95 and concedes 1.05. League average: 1.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kitayosce 31%, Singida Black Stars 38%. Over 2.5: Kitayosce 44%, Singida Black Stars 29%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Singida Black Stars has higher xG: 1.38 vs 0.96. Kitayosce: 4.8 shots per match, Singida Black Stars: 4.4.
Match halves
Kitayosce: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50. Singida Black Stars: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Kitayosce: 0-15 (5 goals). Singida Black Stars: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.96 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a draw (X). The hosts concede only 0.57 goals per home match on average and have kept a clean sheet in 71% of home games, with a positive home goal difference (+4), indicating a clear defensive edge. The visitors are more effective in attack — on the road they average 2.71 shots on target and have a 20% conversion rate with 1.08 goals per away match, and in the last 5 fixtures they scored 8 goals versus the hosts’ 6. League positions (Singida 3rd, Kitayosce 11th) and 9 wins for the visitors compared to 5 for the hosts show seasonal advantage for Singida, but identical xG for both teams (1.14 vs 1.14) suggests an even contest. Therefore a draw is the most likely outcome, with a moderate probability of a home win due to their home defensive record.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back No BTTS with a 70% probability vs 30% for BTTS, because the home side has a very low season rate of matches with both teams scoring: only 22% and keep a clean sheet in 56% of games. In the last 5 matches Kitayosce had BTTS in only 20% and averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, indicating the hosts more often prevent conceding. Singida Black Stars show higher BTTS rates: 50% on the season and 80% in the last 5, scoring an average of 1.6 goals in the last 5, with a shooting conversion of 20%, so the visitors have a real chance to score. However, the league overall has a low BTTS rate of 32% and a high clean sheet rate of 83%, and additionally the hosts generate xG 1.68 with a conversion of 7% (which suggests difficulty in finishing chances), therefore the 'No' scenario ultimately looks stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Comparing xG: the home side has xG_for 1.68 and average xG against 1.21, yielding about 1.45 expected goals for the home team; the visitors have xG_for 1.14 with xG against 1.45, giving roughly 1.30 goals and a total ≈2.75. Although the home team averages 11.4 shots and 4.4 on target, they score only 0.78 goals with a 7% conversion, while the visitors register 6.43 shots and 2.71 on target with a 20% conversion and 1.08 goals on average. In the last 5 matches the home side averaged 1.2 goals, the visitors 1.6 (total 2.8), and the over 2.5 rate in the last 5 is 60% for the home team and 100% for the visitors, although season-long Over2.5 stands at only 33% and 25%, which introduces some uncertainty. A Poisson model with aggregate λ≈2.75 gives ~76% probability for at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~52% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~30% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5). Therefore the strongest signal is backing Over 1.5 — combined xG and recent form provide the highest likelihood here.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely half-time result is a draw: the home team had a draw at the break in 75% of matches and the away team in 71%, hence an estimated draw at half-time of approximately 72%. After the break the home side are favored — they win 56% of home matches, have a higher xG of 1.68 versus 1.14 for the visitors, and average 11.4 shots versus 6.43 and 4.4 on target versus 2.71, indicating greater goal-creating capacity. Homes keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches while visitors only in 17%, and season-long goals averages show 0.78 scored by the home team versus 1.08 by the away team, which together increase the chance of the home side winning the match after a goalless or tied first half. Therefore I pick X/1 as the best pick (44%), with X/X at 20% as a realistic alternative, and X/2 at 8% as less likely due to the homes’ xG and shot advantage. Scenarios with the home team leading at the break I rate as unlikely (homes led at half-time in 0% of their matches, hence 1% on 1/1), while away-team leads at the break (data: 29%) I distribute among possible full-time outcomes 2/X 12%, 2/1 7% and 2/2 8%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kitayosce | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.77 | 0.63 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kitayosce is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kitayosce · 1.2 pts / match - Singida Black Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitayosce is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Kitayosce · 0.95 goals / match - Singida Black Stars
Singida Black Stars is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Kitayosce · 1.05 goals / match - Singida Black Stars
Kitayosce scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while Singida Black Stars keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Singida Black Stars scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Kitayosce keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kitayosce
Over / Under - Singida Black Stars
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Singida Black Stars is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Kitayosce · 1.14 pts / match - Singida Black Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kitayosce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Singida Black Stars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kitayosce
Singida Black Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Kitayosce | Liga | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.19 | 1.96 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 31% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 38% | 42% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- KitayosceGoalAbdalla Kheri
FAQ
What was the result of Kitayosce vs Singida Black Stars?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Kitayosce 2:0 Singida Black Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kitayosce vs Singida Black Stars?
Kitayosce score 1.06 goals per game on average and Singida Black Stars 0.95. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Kitayosce's matches and 38% of Singida Black Stars's.
What form are Kitayosce and Singida Black Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Kitayosce have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Singida Black Stars 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kitayosce vs Singida Black Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kitayosce vs Singida Black Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.