Kluczevia Stargard vs Stargard Szczeciński: match statistics

Stargard Szczeciński are showing considerably more consistent form: they have not lost any of their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while Kluczevia Stargard have lost 4 of their 5 games. The visitors have scored 9 goals during this period, 2 more than the hosts, and, most importantly, have conceded only 3 goals compared with Kluczevia’s 13. The visitors’ average of 1.8 points per game across their last five matches clearly surpasses the hosts’ meagre 0.2 points. Kluczevia have managed to score 7 goals in five games, but their very weak defence, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match during this period, should provide the visitors with plenty of opportunities. The visitors’ advantage in current form and defensive organisation points towards an away victory.

The BTTS signal is supported by recent results: Kluczevia averaged 1.4 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.6, while Stargard Szczeciński scored 1.8 goals per match. The hosts allowed opponents high-quality chances, with an average xG against of 1.68, while the visitors produced a very strong 2.27 xG during this period. BTTS landed in 80% of Kluczevia’s last five matches and in 60% of Stargard’s games, compared with a league average of 78%. The visitors conceded just 3 goals in their last five appearances, so the risk of Kluczevia failing to score remains real; however, its average of 1.39 xG and 16 shots in its home profile support the expectation of at least one goal. The most likely scenario is therefore that both sides will score — BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal.

Kluczevia’s latest form points to open games: across five matches, they averaged 1.4 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.6, producing an average of 4.0 total goals per game. Stargard Szczeciński scored 1.8 goals per match during this period, with a high average xG of 2.27, while the hosts’ defense allowed opponents an xG of 1.68. Kluczevia went Over 2.5 goals in all five of their last matches, and both teams scored in 80% of those games. However, the visitors defend considerably more solidly, conceding just 0.6 goals per match across their last five fixtures, which is why the 2.5 line does not offer the same level of confidence. The strongest selection is Over 1.5, as the projected 2.90 goals and the hosts’ weak defense clearly increase the likelihood of at least two goals.

Stargard Szczeciński are showing significantly better current form: they have not lost any of their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, while Kluczevia have suffered four defeats, conceding an average of 2.6 goals. The visitors led at the break in 60% of their recent matches and were never behind at half-time, whereas the hosts were trailing after the first half in 60% of games. The defensive contrast is also evident before the break: the visitors conceded an average of just 0.2 goals, while Kluczevia allowed 1.0. After half-time, the hosts still look vulnerable, having conceded an average of 1.6 goals in the second halves of their last five appearances and recording at least two total goals in four of them. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT outcome of 2/2, with the visitors taking the lead before half-time and holding it until the final whistle.