Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of 23 July 2026

KMC vs Simba: match statistics

Reasoning:

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KMC vs Simba: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

KMC play Simba in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 01:00.

Current form

KMC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Simba: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

KMC scores 0.57 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Simba scores 1.79 and concedes 0.38. League average: 2.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: KMC 32%, Simba 28%. Over 2.5: KMC 39%, Simba 48%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Simba has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.21. KMC: 6.6 shots per match, Simba: 8.7.

Match halves

KMC: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.29. Simba: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

KMC: 31-45+ (5 goals). Simba: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.57Goals scored / match1.79
KMCSimba
1.75Goals conceded / match0.38
KMCSimba
44%Average possession50%
KMCSimba
2.46Shots on target / match3.48
KMCSimba

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.64Shots per match8.69
KMCSimba
2.46Shots on target3.48
KMCSimba
8.6%Shot conversion20.6%
KMCSimba
44%Possession50%
KMCSimba
1.21xG for1.57
KMCSimba
1.57xG against0.85
KMCSimba

Shooting quality

KMC: BalancedSimba: Efficient finishing
KMCSimba
Accuracy (shots on target)37%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.51

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KMC
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
7% W11% R82% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-23
0.32 pts / match · goal difference -33
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-9
Last 5 at home
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Simba
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
72% W24% R3% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-7-1
2.41 pts / match · goal difference +41
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-5-0
Last 5 away
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 0.59BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Simba is 214% better for: goals scored per match.

0.57 goals / match - KMC · 1.79 goals / match - Simba

Simba is 361% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - KMC · 0.38 goals / match - Simba

KMC scoring profile: more difficult

KMC scores in 39% of matches (11 of 28 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 69% (20 of 29 matches).

Simba scoring profile: very strong

Simba scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while KMC keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).

16Goals scored (season)52
KMCSimba
49Goals conceded (season)11
KMCSimba
2.32Average goals in match2.17
KMCSimba
3Goals scored (last 5)9
KMCSimba
10Goals conceded (last 5)1
KMCSimba

How often they score at least...

39%1 goal83%
KMCSimba
14%2 goals62%
KMCSimba
4%3 goals31%
KMCSimba
0%4 goals3%
KMCSimba

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal31%
KMCSimba
43%2 goals7%
KMCSimba
36%3 goals0%
KMCSimba
7%4 goals0%
KMCSimba

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time21%
KMCSimba
7%BTTS in both halves0%
KMCSimba
11%Scored in both halves45%
KMCSimba

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
KMCSimba
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS28%
KMCSimba
40%BTTS - last 520%
KMCSimba

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
KMCSimba
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
KMCSimba
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
KMCSimba

2nd half

61%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
KMCSimba
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
KMCSimba
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
KMCSimba

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Simba is 189% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - KMC · 2.17 pts / match - Simba

KMC - half-time state
11% leading43% draw46% trailing
Simba - half-time state
59% leading41% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)2.17
KMCSimba
0.29Goals scored (1st half)1
KMCSimba
0.93Goals conceded (1st half)0.21
KMCSimba
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.21
KMCSimba
43%Clean sheet before half-time79%
KMCSimba
71%No goal before half-time31%
KMCSimba

After half-time (2nd half)

0.68Points per match (2nd half)2.07
KMCSimba
0.29Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
KMCSimba
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.17
KMCSimba
1.07Average goals (2nd half)0.97
KMCSimba
43%Clean sheet after half-time86%
KMCSimba
79%No goal after half-time41%
KMCSimba

KMC - second-half results

7% W46% R46% P
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding64%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Simba - second-half results

59% W31% R10% P
63
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+23
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KMC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Simba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.60
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

KMC
ScoredConceded
0
9
0-15
3
8
16-30
5
10
31-45
4
8
46-60
0
7
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Simba
ScoredConceded
9
1
0-15
7
2
16-30
13
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
9
0
61-75
9
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.5 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
32%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

KMC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
201%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Simba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
206%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
29%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

KMCLigaSimba
Average goals in match 2.322.17 2.17
Both teams scored 32%35% 28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%39% 48%
Clean sheets 11%39% 69%
Goal before half-time 68%60% 69%
Goal after half-time 61%63% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.17
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: KMC 0 - 0 - 1 Simba. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do KMC and Simba play?

KMC face Simba on 7 February 2026 in Ligi kuu Bara. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before KMC vs Simba?

KMC score 0.57 goals per game on average and Simba 1.79. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 32% of KMC's matches and 28% of Simba's.

What form are KMC and Simba in?

Over the last 5 games KMC have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Simba 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KMC vs Simba?

The statistical background for KMC vs Simba — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.

KMC - Simba - statistical preview | NoFluffPicks Stats