Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which justifies predicting a draw. Kocaelispor displays solid home form with 45% wins and only 27% losses at home, but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1 point per game. Gaziantep FK shows better current form with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches and an impressive offensive efficiency (12% shot conversion rate away). The hosts have an expected goals advantage in home matches (xG 1.31 vs xGA 0.98), but the visitors record a high average of goals scored away (1.4 per match). The key factor is Gaziantep FK's high percentage of draws away (40%), which, combined with Kocaelispor's 27% draw rate at home, suggests a share of the points as the most likely scenario.
Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kocaelispor played Gaziantep FK in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Kocaelispor: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gaziantep FK: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kocaelispor scores 0.86 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Gaziantep FK scores 1.38 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kocaelispor 43%, Gaziantep FK 62%. Over 2.5: Kocaelispor 29%, Gaziantep FK 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Gaziantep FK has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.18. Kocaelispor: 10.5 shots per match, Gaziantep FK: 13.5.
Match halves
Kocaelispor: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.48. Gaziantep FK: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Kocaelispor: 61-75 (5 goals). Gaziantep FK: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which justifies predicting a draw. Kocaelispor displays solid home form with 45% wins and only 27% losses at home, but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1 point per game. Gaziantep FK shows better current form with 1.6 points per game in their last five matches and an impressive offensive efficiency (12% shot conversion rate away). The hosts have an expected goals advantage in home matches (xG 1.31 vs xGA 0.98), but the visitors record a high average of goals scored away (1.4 per match). The key factor is Gaziantep FK's high percentage of draws away (40%), which, combined with Kocaelispor's 27% draw rate at home, suggests a share of the points as the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kocaelispor | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kocaelispor is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kocaelispor · 1 pts / match - Gaziantep FK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gaziantep FK is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Kocaelispor · 1.38 goals / match - Gaziantep FK
Kocaelispor is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Kocaelispor · 1.67 goals / match - Gaziantep FK
Kocaelispor scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Gaziantep FK keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Gaziantep FK scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Kocaelispor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kocaelispor
Over / Under - Gaziantep FK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kocaelispor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gaziantep FK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kocaelispor | Liga | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.90 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Gaziantep FKYellow cardMuhammet Akmelek
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kocaelispor 0 - 0 - 1 Gaziantep FK. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
The Süper Lig match finished Kocaelispor 3:0 Gaziantep FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
Kocaelispor score 0.86 goals per game on average and Gaziantep FK 1.38. The Süper Lig average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Kocaelispor's matches and 62% of Gaziantep FK's.
What form are Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK in?
Over the last 5 games Kocaelispor have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gaziantep FK 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK?
The statistical background for Kocaelispor vs Gaziantep FK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.