Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: match statistics
Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kocaelispor played İstanbul Başakşehir in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Kocaelispor: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. İstanbul Başakşehir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kocaelispor scores 0.85 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. İstanbul Başakşehir scores 1.63 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kocaelispor 37%, İstanbul Başakşehir 59%. Over 2.5: Kocaelispor 33%, İstanbul Başakşehir 59%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
İstanbul Başakşehir has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.16. Kocaelispor: 10.3 shots per match, İstanbul Başakşehir: 13.0.
Match halves
Kocaelispor: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.48. İstanbul Başakşehir: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Kocaelispor: 76-90+ (6 goals). İstanbul Başakşehir: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
İstanbul Başakşehir is the favorite in this matchup — they have 44 goals scored this season versus Kocaelispor's 23, and the average goals by visitors away is 1.62 compared to 1.00 for hosts at home. The visitors create more chances: on average 13.69 shots and 4.92 on target per away match versus 11.79 shots and 3.71 on target for the hosts, and the visitors’ xG away is 1.53 versus the hosts’ 1.29 xG, which confirms superiority in chance quality. Efficiency is also on Başakşehir’s side — a 12% conversion rate versus 8% for Kocaelispor, and in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 6 goals and average 1.4 points per match versus 2 goals and 0.6 points for the hosts. Still, Kocaelispor have a home defensive edge: they concede only 0.79 goals per match on average and have 43% of matches with a clean sheet, so they can make the game difficult. Considering the advantage in shots, xG, efficiency and form, I predict an away win, with a draw remaining a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally Kocaelispor has BTTS at 71% and İstanbul Başakşehir 46%, with a league average of 54%, but recent form contradicts that trend. In the last 5 matches the home side has only 20% BTTS and averages 0.4 goals (2 goals in 5 matches), while the away side has 40% BTTS and 1.2 goals (6 goals in 5 matches); the home team meanwhile concedes 1.8 goals on average in this period and the visitors 1.6. Season xG shows both teams generate around 1.4 xG (home 1.41, away 1.53) and both also concede roughly 1.4 xG on average (against home 1.43, against away 1.35); however in the last 5 matches the home side has xG 1.06 with only 0.4 scored goals, suggesting finishing issues. Additionally the home team has 29% clean sheets and the away team 38%, while the league records 56% matches with a clean sheet, which increases the chance that at least one team fails to score. As a result the No (no BTTS) scenario looks more likely, which I assign 60% vs 40% for Yes (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive profile analysis yields total expected goals of about 2.86: Kocaelispor has attacking xG 1.41 and Başakşehir’s defense concedes 1.35 xG, giving ~1.38 for the home side; Başakşehir has attacking xG 1.53 and Kocaelispor’s xG conceded 1.43, giving ~1.48 for the away side. A Poisson model with λ=2.86 indicates probability of Over 1.5 ≈78%, Over 2.5 ≈54% and Over 3.5 ≈32%, and these estimates align with seasonal rates (home Over1.5 in 79% and Over2.5 in 50%, away respectively 85% and 69%). Additionally Kocaelispor records BTTS in 71% of matches, Başakşehir 46%, and shots on target 4.5 vs 4.92 and season goals 23 vs 44 suggest both sides can create chances. The last 5 matches weaken the hosts (only 2 goals in 5 matches, average 0.4), however seasonal xG and high Over 1.5/2.5 percentages still favor total goals over 1.5, therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time I expect a draw: Kocaelispor averages 0.71 goals scored and 0.43 conceded by the break, while Başakşehir averages 0.62 scored and 0.31 conceded; hosts record a half-time draw in 57% of matches versus 38% for visitors, which averages to roughly a 48% chance of an HT draw. After 90 minutes the favorite are the visitors — Başakşehir win 54% of matches versus Kocaelispor’s 36% and have higher xG (1.53 vs 1.41), indicating better quality chances. Second-half statistics confirm the visitors’ advantage: Başakşehir score on average 1.00 goal after the break while conceding 0.69, hosts have 0.93 scored and 0.79 conceded, and in the last five matches the visitors collected an average of 1.4 points in second halves versus 0.2 points for Kocaelispor. As a result the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Başakşehir victory after 90 minutes (X/2), which I assign the highest probability to; important alternatives are 1/1 (home team maintaining the lead) and X/X (full-time draw).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kocaelispor | İstanbul Başakşehir | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Kocaelispor · 2 pts / match - İstanbul Başakşehir
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Kocaelispor · 1.63 goals / match - İstanbul Başakşehir
İstanbul Başakşehir is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Kocaelispor · 1.11 goals / match - İstanbul Başakşehir
Kocaelispor scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while İstanbul Başakşehir keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
İstanbul Başakşehir scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Kocaelispor keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kocaelispor
Over / Under - İstanbul Başakşehir
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
İstanbul Başakşehir is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Kocaelispor · 1.59 pts / match - İstanbul Başakşehir
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kocaelispor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
İstanbul Başakşehir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kocaelispor
İstanbul Başakşehir
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Kocaelispor | Liga | İstanbul Başakşehir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.04 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kocaelispor 0 - 0 - 1 İstanbul Başakşehir. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
The Süper Lig match finished Kocaelispor 0:0 İstanbul Başakşehir. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Kocaelispor score 0.85 goals per game on average and İstanbul Başakşehir 1.63. The Süper Lig average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Kocaelispor's matches and 59% of İstanbul Başakşehir's.
What form are Kocaelispor and İstanbul Başakşehir in?
Over the last 5 games Kocaelispor have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and İstanbul Başakşehir 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kocaelispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.