Kolding IF vs Esbjerg: match statistics
Kolding IF vs Esbjerg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kolding IF played Esbjerg in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Kolding IF: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Esbjerg: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kolding IF scores 1.32 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Esbjerg scores 1.45 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kolding IF 50%, Esbjerg 55%. Over 2.5: Kolding IF 50%, Esbjerg 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Esbjerg has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.46. Kolding IF: 12.6 shots per match, Esbjerg: 13.3.
Match halves
Kolding IF: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.64. Esbjerg: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Kolding IF: 31-45+ (8 goals). Esbjerg: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kolding holds a clear home advantage: on average 1.45 goals scored per match and xG 1.53 with only 1.00 goals conceded, while Esbjerg on the road averages 1.18 goals and xG 1.47 with 1.18 goals conceded. The hosts convert chances more efficiently — Kolding’s conversion rate is 11% vs Esbjerg’s 9% — and are less likely to be shut out (FTS 18% vs 36%), reducing the risk of a goalless game. Home metrics further favor Kolding: 55% home wins and a positive goal difference of +5, whereas Esbjerg away has 45% wins and a goal difference of 0. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 6 goals and average 1.6 points per match, but Kolding have conceded only 4 goals versus Esbjerg’s 6, indicating better defensive form from the hosts. Considering the edge in xG (1.53 vs 1.47), superior conversion and lower non-scoring risk, I forecast a home win (Kolding 52% win, 26% draw, 22% Esbjerg win).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - Yes as the more likely scenario: Kolding averages 1.73 goals scored and concedes 1.45 per match, with a season BTTS rate of 73% and only 9% clean sheets. Esbjerg has lower averages (1.18 scored and 1.18 conceded) and a season BTTS of 36%, but in the last 5 matches the visitors had BTTS in 60% of games and averaged 1.2 goals. xG values confirm both sides as threats: Kolding xG_for 1.66 vs Esbjerg xG_against 1.49 and Esbjerg xG_for 1.47 vs Kolding xG_against 1.45, giving over 1.4 expected goals for both teams. Additionally, hosts register 6.27 shots on target vs 4.45 for Esbjerg and have better conversion 12% vs 9%, increasing the probability of a Kolding goal, while their average goals conceded 1.45 favors a visiting goal; therefore I rate the "both teams to score" scenario at 65% (vs 35%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated xG is 1.58 for Kolding (attack xG average 1.66 and conceded xG by Esbjerg 1.49) and 1.46 for Esbjerg (attack xG average 1.47 and conceded xG by Kolding 1.45), totaling 3.04 expected goals. A Poisson model with lambda=3.04 gives roughly an 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals (1 - P(0 or 1) ≈ 80.6%), about 59% for Over 2.5 goals and about 36% for Over 3.5 goals. Season data confirm a tendency for high-scoring games: Kolding has Over 1.5 in 91% of matches, Esbjerg 64%, and Kolding records Over 2.5 in 55% of fixtures (Esbjerg 36%). Kolding averages 14 shots and 6.27 shots on target with a 12% conversion rate; Esbjerg averages 12.64 shots and 4.45 shots on target with a 9% conversion rate, which supports a higher number of goals. On this basis the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side "over") as the most probable and consistent with xG, shot metrics and historical overs.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kolding IF holds advantages in key metrics: average goals 1.73 versus 1.18, xG 1.66 versus 1.47 and on average 6.27 shots on target versus Esbjerg’s 4.45, indicating more and better scoring opportunities. At half-time Kolding scores an average of 0.82 goals, Esbjerg 0.64, and the visitors are behind at the break in 45% of their matches, while Kolding led at the break in 36% of home games — this reinforces the expectation of the home side leading after 45 minutes. In the second half Kolding averages 0.91 goals (vs 0.55 for Esbjerg) and 91% of their second halves feature at least one goal, so they can maintain or extend a lead. Considering a 55% home win rate versus 45% for the visitors and higher conversion efficiency (12% vs 9%), the most likely and strongest signal is Kolding leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1) — I assign this scenario a 35% probability; other outcomes (e.g. X/X 10% or X/1 16%) are less convincing.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kolding IF | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Esbjerg is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Kolding IF · 2.2 pts / match - Esbjerg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esbjerg is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Kolding IF · 1.45 goals / match - Esbjerg
Kolding IF is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Kolding IF · 1.32 goals / match - Esbjerg
Kolding IF scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Esbjerg keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Esbjerg scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Kolding IF keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kolding IF
Over / Under - Esbjerg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kolding IF is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Kolding IF · 1.36 pts / match - Esbjerg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kolding IF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 41%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Esbjerg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kolding IF
Esbjerg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Kolding IF | Liga | Esbjerg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.75 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kolding IF 2 - 0 - 0 Esbjerg. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?
The 1st Division match finished Kolding IF 1:1 Esbjerg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kolding IF and Esbjerg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kolding IF won 2, Esbjerg won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?
Kolding IF score 1.32 goals per game on average and Esbjerg 1.45. The 1st Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kolding IF's matches and 55% of Esbjerg's.
What form are Kolding IF and Esbjerg in?
Over the last 5 games Kolding IF have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Esbjerg 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kolding IF vs Esbjerg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.