Köln vs Bayern München: match statistics
Bayern Munich is the clear favorite for this encounter, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and zero defeats. The Bavarians display dominant away form with an 86% win rate on the road, averaging 3.43 goals scored while conceding just 0.71 per match. Köln finds itself in a difficult situation, sitting in 11th place with a 4-5-7 record and weak home form (29% wins, 43% losses), having failed to keep a single clean sheet at home. The gap in quality is immense – Bayern averages 67% possession away compared to Köln's 50% at home, along with significantly higher xG (2.29 vs 1.6). The last five matches confirm Bayern's dominance (4 wins, 1 draw, 22 goals scored) against the hosts' mediocre form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). All statistics point to a certain victory for the visitors, although a surprise or draw can never be completely ruled out in football.
Köln vs Bayern München: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Köln played Bayern München in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 14 January 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Köln: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Bayern München: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Köln scores 1.50 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Bayern München scores 3.94 and concedes 0.75. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Köln 69%, Bayern München 50%. Over 2.5: Köln 50%, Bayern München 100%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Bayern München has higher xG: 2.34 vs 1.45. Köln: 13.1 shots per match, Bayern München: 19.5.
Match halves
Köln: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.00. Bayern München: half-time lead 69%, second-half goals 2.19.
Goals by minute
Köln: 76-90+ (11 goals). Bayern München: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bayern Munich is the clear favorite for this encounter, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and zero defeats. The Bavarians display dominant away form with an 86% win rate on the road, averaging 3.43 goals scored while conceding just 0.71 per match. Köln finds itself in a difficult situation, sitting in 11th place with a 4-5-7 record and weak home form (29% wins, 43% losses), having failed to keep a single clean sheet at home. The gap in quality is immense – Bayern averages 67% possession away compared to Köln's 50% at home, along with significantly higher xG (2.29 vs 1.6). The last five matches confirm Bayern's dominance (4 wins, 1 draw, 22 goals scored) against the hosts' mediocre form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). All statistics point to a certain victory for the visitors, although a surprise or draw can never be completely ruled out in football.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Köln | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bayern München is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Köln · 2.6 pts / match - Bayern München
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayern München is 163% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Köln · 3.94 goals / match - Bayern München
Bayern München is 117% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Köln · 0.75 goals / match - Bayern München
Köln scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Bayern München keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
Bayern München scores in 100% of matches (16 of 16 matches), while Köln keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Köln
Over / Under - Bayern München
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayern München is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Köln · 2.38 pts / match - Bayern München
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bayern München - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 69% of matches and wins 88%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +14 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Köln
Bayern München
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Köln | Liga | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.13 | 3.25 | ▲ 4.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 24% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 82% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Köln vs Bayern München?
The Bundesliga match finished Köln 1:3 Bayern München. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Köln vs Bayern München?
Köln score 1.50 goals per game on average and Bayern München 3.94. The Bundesliga average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Köln's matches and 50% of Bayern München's.
What form are Köln and Bayern München in?
Over the last 5 games Köln have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Bayern München 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Köln vs Bayern München?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.