Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach: match statistics
Köln have the home advantage in this clash, even though both teams are in a difficult league situation. The hosts show better efficiency in home matches with an average of 1.69 goals per game and a shot conversion rate of 13%, while Borussia M'gladbach away from home record just 1.08 goals on average with a 9% conversion rate. Gladbach have a very poor away form with 54% defeats and only 23% wins, making them susceptible to dropping points. Köln, despite their recent poor run, maintain a positive goal difference at home (+1) compared to the visitors' disastrous away goal difference (-8). Considering the hosts' xG advantage (1.53 vs 1.25 for the visitors away) and the fact that Köln fail to score less often at home (8% FTS vs 31% for the away side), I expect a home win, although it won't be an easy match.
Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Köln played Borussia M'gladbach in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Köln: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Borussia M'gladbach: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Köln scores 1.35 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Borussia M'gladbach scores 1.15 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Köln 73%, Borussia M'gladbach 38%. Over 2.5: Köln 58%, Borussia M'gladbach 54%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Köln has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.28. Köln: 12.8 shots per match, Borussia M'gladbach: 11.5.
Match halves
Köln: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Borussia M'gladbach: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Köln: 76-90+ (14 goals). Borussia M'gladbach: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Köln have the home advantage in this clash, even though both teams are in a difficult league situation. The hosts show better efficiency in home matches with an average of 1.69 goals per game and a shot conversion rate of 13%, while Borussia M'gladbach away from home record just 1.08 goals on average with a 9% conversion rate. Gladbach have a very poor away form with 54% defeats and only 23% wins, making them susceptible to dropping points. Köln, despite their recent poor run, maintain a positive goal difference at home (+1) compared to the visitors' disastrous away goal difference (-8). Considering the hosts' xG advantage (1.53 vs 1.25 for the visitors away) and the fact that Köln fail to score less often at home (8% FTS vs 31% for the away side), I expect a home win, although it won't be an easy match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Köln | Borussia M'gladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Borussia M'gladbach is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Köln · 1.2 pts / match - Borussia M'gladbach
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Köln is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Köln · 1.15 goals / match - Borussia M'gladbach
Köln scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Borussia M'gladbach keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
Borussia M'gladbach scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Köln keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Köln
Over / Under - Borussia M'gladbach
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Borussia M'gladbach is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Köln · 1 pts / match - Borussia M'gladbach
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Borussia M'gladbach - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Köln
Borussia M'gladbach
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Köln | Liga | Borussia M'gladbach | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.04 | 3.14 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 58% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Köln 0 - 0 - 1 Borussia M'gladbach. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach?
The Bundesliga match finished Köln 3:3 Borussia M'gladbach. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach?
Köln score 1.35 goals per game on average and Borussia M'gladbach 1.15. The Bundesliga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Köln's matches and 38% of Borussia M'gladbach's.
What form are Köln and Borussia M'gladbach in?
Over the last 5 games Köln have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Borussia M'gladbach 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.