Köln vs Wolfsburg: match statistics
Köln demonstrates a clear advantage in home matches, averaging 1.89 goals with a conversion rate of 13% and an advantage in xG (1.61 vs 1.37). Wolfsburg records very poor results in away matches—56% losses, an average of 2.22 goals conceded per match, and a negative goal difference (-8). Form in the last five meetings also speaks for the hosts (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 for Wolfsburg). Wolfsburg has the worst record for clean sheets away (11%) and the highest average xG against (1.87), indicating defensive problems. Although Köln has only 33% wins at home, Wolfsburg's weakness on the road and the hosts' statistical advantage in key aspects of the game make them the favorite for this encounter.
Köln vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Köln played Wolfsburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Köln: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Wolfsburg: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Köln scores 1.47 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Wolfsburg scores 1.47 and concedes 2.16. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Köln 74%, Wolfsburg 79%. Over 2.5: Köln 58%, Wolfsburg 68%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Köln has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.33. Köln: 13.5 shots per match, Wolfsburg: 11.6.
Match halves
Köln: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.95. Wolfsburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Köln: 76-90+ (12 goals). Wolfsburg: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Köln demonstrates a clear advantage in home matches, averaging 1.89 goals with a conversion rate of 13% and an advantage in xG (1.61 vs 1.37). Wolfsburg records very poor results in away matches—56% losses, an average of 2.22 goals conceded per match, and a negative goal difference (-8). Form in the last five meetings also speaks for the hosts (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 for Wolfsburg). Wolfsburg has the worst record for clean sheets away (11%) and the highest average xG against (1.87), indicating defensive problems. Although Köln has only 33% wins at home, Wolfsburg's weakness on the road and the hosts' statistical advantage in key aspects of the game make them the favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Köln | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Köln is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Köln · 2.16 goals / match - Wolfsburg
Köln scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
Wolfsburg scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Köln keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Köln
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wolfsburg is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Köln · 1.26 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Köln
Wolfsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Köln | Liga | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.16 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 58% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 24% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 82% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Köln 0 - 1 - 0 Wolfsburg. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Köln vs Wolfsburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Köln 1:0 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Köln vs Wolfsburg?
Köln score 1.47 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 1.47. The Bundesliga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Köln's matches and 79% of Wolfsburg's.
What form are Köln and Wolfsburg in?
Over the last 5 games Köln have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Wolfsburg 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Köln vs Wolfsburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Köln vs Wolfsburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.