Komárno vs DAC: match statistics

DAC sit 5th, while Komárno are ninth. In their last five matches, the visitors have scored 7 goals and won 3 games, compared with the hosts’ 5 goals and just 1 victory. DAC have conceded an average of 1 goal per away match, whereas Komárno have allowed opponents to score 2 goals per home game and have failed to keep a clean sheet. The visitors should also control the flow of the game more effectively, as their average away possession stands at 66%, compared with Komárno’s 55%, while they register 12 shots per match to the hosts’ 10. The quality of chances created is similar, with DAC averaging 1.48 xG and Komárno 1.47, but the hosts allow opponents chances worth as much as 2.08 xG. Komárno lost their only home match so far, while DAC drew their only away fixture, so the visitors’ advantage is moderate but still points towards a win.

The BTTS - Yes pick is slightly supported by Komárno’s form over their last five matches, in which both teams scored in 80% of games, while the hosts conceded an average of 1.2 goals. Over the same period, DAC scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 1.4, pointing to realistic chances of both sides finding the net. The attacking potential is supported by the xG figures: Komárno have averaged 1.44 expected goals, while DAC have averaged 1.48 across their last five appearances. However, the hosts are currently on a very recent clean-sheet run in the competition, while DAC’s BTTS rate this season stands at 100%, meaning the seasonal sample is clearly small and should not outweigh the broader form. With the league BTTS average at 63%, the most likely scenario remains one in which each team scores at least one goal.

In their last five matches, Komárno averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while DAC recorded 1.4 and 1.4 respectively, pointing to a total closer to 2–3 goals than to an open game. Both teams had at least three goals in only 40% of their matches during this period, while 60% of games in each case finished below this line. The average xG from their last five outings is similar: 1.44 for the hosts and 1.48 for the visitors, although both defences allowed opponents around 1.5 xG, supporting a moderate-goals scenario. Despite the league averaging 3.25 goals per match, the current results of both teams are clearly lower, and the 3.5 line provides a solid safety margin. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as at least four goals are required for the bet to lose.

DAC are showing better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 1.4 goals per game, while Komárno have won just once, scoring 1.0 goal per match. The first halves suggest a cautious start with an away advantage: DAC were level at half-time in 40% of their recent matches, while Komárno were trailing after 45 minutes in 60%, with the hosts averaging 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded before the break. After half-time, DAC average 1.8 goals in total per match, while their opponents concede an average of 1.0 goal during this period, strengthening the scenario of an away-side turnaround. Although Komárno take more shots, 16 compared with 12, DAC have a higher xG of 1.48 in the final phase of the season and significantly better results; therefore, a draw at half-time followed by an away win is the most likely outcome: X/2.