Kongsvinger vs Moss: match statistics
Kongsvinger vs Moss: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kongsvinger played Moss in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Kongsvinger: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Moss: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kongsvinger scores 3.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Moss scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 4.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kongsvinger 50%, Moss 50%. Over 2.5: Kongsvinger 100%, Moss 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 93%.
xG, shots and style
Moss has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.54. Kongsvinger: 10.5 shots per match, Moss: 17.0.
Match halves
Kongsvinger: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.50. Moss: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Kongsvinger: 46-60 (3 goals). Moss: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 4.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 93%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kongsvinger has a clear home advantage: won 100% of home matches (2/2), averaging 3.0 goals per home game and has not conceded yet (0.0 goals conceded per game) with 100% clean sheets. Moss, however, shows a strong away attack — averaging 16 shots and 8 shots on target per away game and away xG 2.05 versus hosts’ 1.62, indicating the visitors generate more high-quality chances. Kongsvinger’s home finishing is more efficient (27% conversion vs 19% for Moss), but in the last 5 matches the hosts scored 10 and conceded 8 (record 2-1-2), while Moss scored 8 and conceded 6 (record 3-1-1) and averages 2.0 points per game in their last 5. Defensively the hosts hold the edge at their stadium (0.0 goals conceded per home game vs Moss’s 2.0 goals conceded away) and enjoy higher possession (59% vs 51%), so given the moderate strength of the visitors’ attack I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data show clear contrasts: the home side has a seasonal average goals scored of 1.0 and seasonal average goals conceded of 0.0 with 100% clean sheets, while the visitors have a seasonal average goals scored of 3.0 and conceded of 2.0 and a seasonal BTTS of 100%. Over the last 5 matches the visitors have 80% BTTS and concede on average 1.2 goals per match, whereas the hosts have 40% BTTS and concede on average 1.6 goals; this indicates that in recent form both teams are more prone to goal exchanges. Offensive metrics favor the visitors: xG is 2.05 vs 1.85 for the hosts, shots on target 8 vs 4 and conversion rate 19% vs 6%, meaning the visitors are more clinical and have a higher likelihood of scoring. Considering the league average BTTS of 56% and that the visitors have a seasonal BTTS of 100% and 80% recently, while the home team — despite seasonal 100% clean sheets — has conceded 1.6 goals on average in the last 5, the 'both teams to score' scenario looks stronger. I assess BTTS probability at 70% for 'Yes' and 30% for 'No', therefore I recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet as the most justified signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.51 xG for Kongsvinger and 1.58 xG for Moss, a total of 3.09 goals; under a Poisson model this implies roughly an 81% chance of Over 1.5, ~60% for Over 2.5 and ~37% for Over 3.5. Season xG figures are 1.85 (Kongsvinger) and 2.05 (Moss), and after adjusting for opponents’ defensive xG against (1.11 and 1.16) I derived the above expected values of 1.51/1.58. Moss averages 8 on-target shots versus Kongsvinger’s 4 and posts a conversion rate of 19% vs 6%, while the league average is 3.86 goals per game — factors that increase the probability of a higher-scoring game. Season-long indicators are mixed: Moss have 100% of away matches Over 2.5, Kongsvinger have 0% at home, but the last 5 matches for both teams show 60% Over 2.5, which together with xG supports the Over. As a result I recommend backing the Over at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal (≈81%), while the 2.5 line also holds an edge (~60%) for players seeking bigger odds.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kongsvinger has led at the break in 100% of its matches so far, averaging 1.0 goals by half-time and conceding 0.0, while Moss averages 0.0 goals at half-time and concedes 1.0. Moss has a higher xG (2.05 vs 1.85 for Kongsvinger), a markedly better shot conversion rate (19% vs 6%) and on average more shots on target (8.0 vs 4.0), indicating higher-quality chances created. Second-half statistics heavily favor the visitors: Moss averages 3.0 goals in second halves and has scored after the break in 100% of matches, whereas Kongsvinger averages 0.0 second-half goals. For these reasons the most likely scenario is the home side leading at half-time and a draw after 90 minutes, hence a 35% probability for 1/X (selected pick), 30% for 1/1 and 5% for 1/2, which yields a 70% probability that Kongsvinger will have the lead at the break. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Moss has won 60% of games versus 40% for Kongsvinger, confirming the visitors’ tendency to produce a turnaround in the closing stages.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kongsvinger | Moss | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 62% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kongsvinger is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Kongsvinger · 2 goals / match - Moss
Kongsvinger is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Kongsvinger · 1 goals / match - Moss
Kongsvinger scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Moss scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Kongsvinger keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kongsvinger
Over / Under - Moss
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kongsvinger is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / match - Kongsvinger · 1.5 pts / match - Moss
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kongsvinger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Moss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kongsvinger
Moss
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Kongsvinger | Liga | Moss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.50 | 4.00 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 93% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 20% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kongsvinger 2 - 0 - 0 Moss. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kongsvinger vs Moss?
The First Division match finished Kongsvinger 2:1 Moss. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kongsvinger and Moss?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kongsvinger won 2, Moss won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kongsvinger vs Moss?
Kongsvinger score 3.00 goals per game on average and Moss 2.00. The First Division average is 4.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 93% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kongsvinger's matches and 50% of Moss's.
What form are Kongsvinger and Moss in?
Over the last 5 games Kongsvinger have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Moss 2-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kongsvinger vs Moss?
The statistical background for Kongsvinger vs Moss — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.