Koper vs Aluminij: match statistics
Koper vs Aluminij: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Koper played Aluminij in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Koper: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Aluminij: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Koper scores 2.13 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Aluminij scores 1.35 and concedes 1.84. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Koper 69%, Aluminij 74%. Over 2.5: Koper 69%, Aluminij 74%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Koper has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.30. Koper: 13.2 shots per match, Aluminij: 9.5.
Match halves
Koper: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.13. Aluminij: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Koper: 31-45+ (14 goals). Aluminij: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Koper (2nd in the table) is the clear favorite: they have won 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals (2.8 per match) and conceding only 3 goals (0.6 per match), while Aluminij (7th) in their last 5 matches has 2 wins and 3 losses, scored 4 goals (0.8 per match) and conceded 9 (1.8 per match). At home Koper averages 2.31 goals scored and 1.13 conceded, has a 75% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +19; conversely Aluminij away records 1.33 goals scored and 1.93 conceded, a negative goal difference of -9 and only a 33% away win rate. The quality gap in chances is visible in xG and shots — Koper’s home xG is 1.73 with 4.75 shots on target per match, whereas Aluminij away has xG 1.26 and 3.33 shots on target, indicating the hosts create significantly more clear opportunities. Defensively Koper also performs better: average xG against at home is 1.41 versus 1.85 xG against for Aluminij on the road, and the clean sheet rate is 6% for Koper and 13% for Aluminij. Considering the form of 5 consecutive wins, superiority in shots and higher xG, I predict a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long metrics strongly favor BTTS: Koper 75% and Aluminij 73%, versus the league BTTS average of 59%, which is a clear signal for Goal/Goal. Both teams concede heavily across the season — 1.75 and 1.93 goals per match respectively — and clean sheets expected are low at just 13% for each, further increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally, 75% of Koper’s matches and 73% of Aluminij’s matches finish over 2.5 goals, and the Over 2.5 + BTTS combination occurs in 69% and 60% of their games, indicating open, high-scoring encounters. A counter-signal comes from form in the last 5 rounds, where both sides show only 40% BTTS; Koper in that period averages 2.8 scored and 0.6 conceded, while Aluminij averages 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded, which reduces confidence in away goals. Considering the dominant season-long BTTS values of 75%/73%, the low 13% clean sheet rate and the high Over 2.5 percentages, I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 78% versus 22% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The sum of expected goals based on xG and defensive averages is about 1.60 for Koper (xG_for 1.34 and Aluminij opponents allow 1.85) and 1.57 for Aluminij (xG_for 1.26 and Koper opponents allow 1.88), totaling ~3.17 goals. Seasonal indicators support a high-scoring outcome: Over 1.5 occurred in 81% of Koper’s matches and 100% of Aluminij’s matches, while Over 2.5 occurred in 75% and 73% of their games respectively; the league averages 3.11 goals per match. Koper’s form is particularly offensive — in the last 5 matches they averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (14-3 in goals), whereas Aluminij in their last 5 averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded (4-9). Both teams register a high share of BTTS matches: 75% for Koper and 73% for Aluminij, and the combination of Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score occurred in 69% (Koper) and 60% (Aluminij) of games, which strengthens the Over 2.5 signal; therefore the best line to play is Over 2.5 (side: over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back the 1/1 scenario because Koper led at the break in 6 seasonal matches (38%), while Aluminij led at the break in only 1 match (7%), and in the last 5 meetings Koper led at the break in all of them (100%). Additionally, Koper won 5 of their last 5 matches (100%) and has a higher average half-time goals in the last 5 matches: 1.6 versus 0.2 for Aluminij, indicating strong home starts. Koper also has higher xG (1.34 vs 1.26) and more shots on target (4.06 vs 3.33), and the mean half-time goals (0.63 vs 0.27) confirms better efficiency over 45 minutes. Although the seasonal percentage of both-teams-to-score is high (BTTS 75% for hosts and 73% for guests) and Aluminij scores slightly more after the break (1.07 vs 0.75), the difference in HT PPG — 1.25 for the hosts vs 0.6 for the guests — and Koper’s recent form support the maintenance of the lead at the break and the home win at Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Koper | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Koper is 400% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Koper · 0.6 pts / match - Aluminij
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Koper is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Koper · 1.35 goals / match - Aluminij
Koper is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Koper · 1.84 goals / match - Aluminij
Koper scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
Aluminij scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Koper keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Koper
Over / Under - Aluminij
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Koper is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - Koper · 0.94 pts / match - Aluminij
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Koper - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Koper
Aluminij
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Koper | Liga | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.11 | • 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 60% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | • 88% | 87% | ▼ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Koper 2 - 0 - 1 Aluminij. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Koper vs Aluminij?
The PrvaLiga match finished Koper 1:0 Aluminij. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Koper and Aluminij?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Koper won 2, Aluminij won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Koper vs Aluminij?
Koper score 2.13 goals per game on average and Aluminij 1.35. The PrvaLiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Koper's matches and 74% of Aluminij's.
What form are Koper and Aluminij in?
Over the last 5 games Koper have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Aluminij 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Koper vs Aluminij?
The statistical background for Koper vs Aluminij — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.