Koper vs Olimpija: match statistics
Koper vs Olimpija: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Koper played Olimpija in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Koper: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Olimpija: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Koper scores 2.13 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Olimpija scores 1.34 and concedes 1.17. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Koper 70%, Olimpija 55%. Over 2.5: Koper 70%, Olimpija 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Koper has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.61. Koper: 13.6 shots per match, Olimpija: 11.7.
Match halves
Koper: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.17. Olimpija: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Koper: 61-75 (14 goals). Olimpija: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Koper is the favorite in this matchup: they sit 2nd in the table and have a 73% home win rate, while Olimpija is 5th with a 43% away win rate. The hosts score an average of 2.27 goals at home versus Olimpija’s 1.36 on the road; across the season Koper have 64 goals and Olimpija 39, and in the last 5 matches the difference in finishing is clear — 11 versus 5. Despite a similar number of shots on target (4.73 Koper vs 4.79 Olimpija) and comparable possession (54% vs 53%), Koper show higher conversion (16% vs 11%) and a slightly higher xG (1.78 vs 1.65), indicating more quality chances. The hosts’ defense also looks better in the short term: Koper conceded 3 goals in the last 5 matches, Olimpija 6, with average goals conceded of 1.07 per home game and 0.93 per away game respectively. Considering superior finishing, stronger home form and an edge in goals scored, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal and league indicators strongly suggest BTTS - the league has 60% of matches with both teams scoring, Koper has season BTTS 60% and Olimpija 50%, yielding a simple average of ~57% in favor of both teams scoring. Both teams generate similar expected goal profiles: xG_for 1.59 (Koper) vs 1.65 (Olimpija) and xG_against 1.46 vs 1.33, meaning both sides create around 1.6 xG while conceding over 1.3 xG per match. Shot and form data support this — average shots 11.13 and 12.21 with shots on target 3.87 and 4.79, and in the last 5 matches Koper scored 11 goals (2.2 per match) and conceded 3, while Olimpija scored 5 (1.0) and conceded 6, which indicates a realistic possibility of both sides finding the net. The counterargument is Olimpija’s defensive solidity this season (avg 0.93 goals conceded) and relatively high clean sheet rates: 33% (Koper) and 36% (Olimpija), which slightly lowers confidence in a BTTS outcome. Considering the weight of the offensive arguments and the league’s 60% BTTS rate, I predict BTTS - Yes with a probability of 65% versus 35% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combining attack xG and defensive xG yields an expected 1.46 goals for Koper (xG attack 1.59 vs Olimpija defense 1.33) and 1.56 for Olimpija (xG attack 1.65 vs Koper defense 1.46), totaling 3.02 expected goals. Season metrics show Koper has 60% of matches Over 2.5 goals, Olimpija 43%, and the league averages 3.08 goals per match; in the last 5 fixtures both teams contributed to Over 2.5 in 60% of games. In their last 5 matches Koper scored 11 goals (2.2 avg), while Olimpija scored 5 goals (1.0 avg) and conceded 1.2 on average, which favors a higher goal output from the home side. Additionally, over 90% of Koper’s matches feature at least one goal this season (93%) and Olimpija 86%; shot statistics 11.13 vs 12.21, shots on target 3.87 vs 4.79 and conversion rates 12% vs 11% confirm both teams’ offensive potential. Therefore I recommend the Over 2.5 line as the strongest signal (probability ~62%), with a very high probability for Over 1.5 (88%) and a relatively low estimate for Over 3.5 (28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Analysis shows Koper is stronger in the first half: the hosts led at the break in 53% of matches this season (8 times) and in 60% of their last 5 games, with an average of 1.0 first-half goals in those five matches versus 0.2 for Olimpija. Olimpija has a slightly higher xG (1.65 vs 1.59) and more shots on target per match (4.79 vs 3.87), and the visitors score an average of 0.64 goals in the second half while Koper concedes an average of 1.0 goal after the break, which gives a realistic chance of a turnaround. Nonetheless, form over the last 5 matches favors the hosts—Koper 2.0 points per game and 60% wins versus Olimpija 1.4 and 40%—so a lead at the break has a good chance of holding. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (38%), while keeping moderate chances for draws and comebacks (1/X 11%, X/1 12%, X/X 9%) and lower chances for a full turnaround (2/2 12%, 1/2 5%, 2/X 5%, 2/1 3%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Koper | Olimpija | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Koper is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Koper · 1.4 pts / match - Olimpija
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Koper is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
2.13 goals / match - Koper · 1.34 goals / match - Olimpija
Olimpija is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Koper · 1.17 goals / match - Olimpija
Koper scores in 90% of matches (27 of 30 matches), while Olimpija keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
Olimpija scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Koper keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Koper
Over / Under - Olimpija
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpija is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Koper · 1.66 pts / match - Olimpija
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Koper - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Olimpija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Koper
Olimpija
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Koper | Liga | Olimpija | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.47 | 3.08 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 22% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | • 87% | 86% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Koper 2 - 1 - 0 Olimpija. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Koper vs Olimpija?
The PrvaLiga match finished Koper 3:2 Olimpija. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Koper and Olimpija?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Koper won 2, Olimpija won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Koper vs Olimpija?
Koper score 2.13 goals per game on average and Olimpija 1.34. The PrvaLiga average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Koper's matches and 55% of Olimpija's.
What form are Koper and Olimpija in?
Over the last 5 games Koper have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Olimpija 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Koper vs Olimpija?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.