Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia: match statistics
Korona Kielce displays a significantly better form in home matches, achieving a 42% win rate and maintaining a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts possess a clear advantage in offensive efficiency at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.33 goals with a 9% conversion rate and an xG of 1.66. On the other hand, Arka Gdynia performs very poorly away from home, with only an 8% win rate and a catastrophic goal difference (-21), scoring on average just 0.5 goals with a high FTS% of 67%. The recent away form of Arka (ldlllllllllw) shows a series of defeats, further confirming their problems away from their own stadium. Considering all statistics, especially Korona's home dominance and Arka's dramatic weakness on the road, the most probable scenario is a home win, although Korona's recent form (wllwl) and the visitors' solid form in the last five overall matches (wdlwd) leave some room for a draw or an upset.
Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Korona Kielce played Arka Gdynia in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Korona Kielce: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Arka Gdynia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Korona Kielce scores 1.20 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Arka Gdynia scores 1.00 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Korona Kielce 52%, Arka Gdynia 48%. Over 2.5: Korona Kielce 44%, Arka Gdynia 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Korona Kielce has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.27. Korona Kielce: 14.2 shots per match, Arka Gdynia: 10.3.
Match halves
Korona Kielce: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.64. Arka Gdynia: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Korona Kielce: 46-60 (8 goals). Arka Gdynia: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Korona Kielce displays a significantly better form in home matches, achieving a 42% win rate and maintaining a positive goal difference (+2). The hosts possess a clear advantage in offensive efficiency at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.33 goals with a 9% conversion rate and an xG of 1.66. On the other hand, Arka Gdynia performs very poorly away from home, with only an 8% win rate and a catastrophic goal difference (-21), scoring on average just 0.5 goals with a high FTS% of 67%. The recent away form of Arka (ldlllllllllw) shows a series of defeats, further confirming their problems away from their own stadium. Considering all statistics, especially Korona's home dominance and Arka's dramatic weakness on the road, the most probable scenario is a home win, although Korona's recent form (wllwl) and the visitors' solid form in the last five overall matches (wdlwd) leave some room for a draw or an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Korona Kielce | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arka Gdynia is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Korona Kielce · 1.6 pts / match - Arka Gdynia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Korona Kielce is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Korona Kielce · 1 goals / match - Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Korona Kielce · 1.64 goals / match - Arka Gdynia
Korona Kielce scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Arka Gdynia scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
Over / Under - Arka Gdynia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Korona Kielce · 1.08 pts / match - Arka Gdynia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arka Gdynia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Korona Kielce | Liga | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.73 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Korona Kielce 0 - 1 - 0 Arka Gdynia. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Korona Kielce 3:0 Arka Gdynia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
Korona Kielce score 1.20 goals per game on average and Arka Gdynia 1.00. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Korona Kielce's matches and 48% of Arka Gdynia's.
What form are Korona Kielce and Arka Gdynia in?
Over the last 5 games Korona Kielce have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Arka Gdynia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia?
The statistical background for Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.