Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia Białystok: match statistics
Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia Białystok: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Korona Kielce played Jagiellonia Białystok in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 10 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Korona Kielce: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Korona Kielce scores 1.30 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Jagiellonia Białystok scores 1.59 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Korona Kielce 52%, Jagiellonia Białystok 67%. Over 2.5: Korona Kielce 48%, Jagiellonia Białystok 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Jagiellonia Białystok has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.60. Korona Kielce: 14.7 shots per match, Jagiellonia Białystok: 15.3.
Match halves
Korona Kielce: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.67. Jagiellonia Białystok: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Korona Kielce: 16-30 (9 goals). Jagiellonia Białystok: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win. Korona score on average 1.46 goals per home match, while Jagiellonia average 1.08 goals away; the home side fail to score in only 15% of home games versus 31% of the visitors’ away matches. In the last 5 meetings Korona have scored 8 goals compared to Jagiellonia’s 4, and points per game in that period are 1.2 for Korona versus 0.8 for Jagiellonia. Quality-of-chances metrics show a slight advantage for the hosts — average xG for Korona at home is 1.70 versus 1.61 for the away team, with lower xG conceded (1.43 vs 1.69), indicating a more effective defense. Although Jagiellonia record higher possession (57% vs 48%) and 4.54 shots on target away compared to Korona’s 4.08, their lower conversion rate (8% vs 9%) and a zero goal difference on the road weaken their chances.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong BTTS trend: Korona has a seasonal rate of 71%, Jagiellonia 62%, versus the league average of 57%. Korona scores on average 2.07 goals per game (xG 1.97) and concedes 1.43 (xG against 1.52); Jagiellonia has xG 1.61, scores 1.08 and concedes 1.08 (xG against 1.69), indicating chances created by both sides. In the last 5 matches both teams produced BTTS in 60% of cases, with average goals 1.6 (Korona) and 0.8 (Jagiellonia) and concessions 1.8 and 1.6, which confirms the risk of reciprocal scoring. Additionally, Korona averages 5.93 shots on target versus Jagiellonia's 4.54 and has higher conversion (12% vs 8%), so I assess BTTS - Yes at 72% versus 28% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Korona scores an average of 2.07 goals per game, Jagiellonia 1.08, with xG 1.97 (Korona) and 1.61 (Jagiellonia), and their opponents concede 1.69 and 1.52 respectively. Averaging each team’s attack and the opponent’s defense yields 1.83 expected goals for Korona and 1.57 for Jagiellonia (total 3.40), which is above the league average of 2.73. Season-long Over2.5 rates are 79% (Korona) and 54% (Jagiellonia), and in the last 5 matches both teams have Over2.5 at 80%, translating to an implied ~66% chance of >2.5 goals. Korona averages 5.93 shots on target vs Jagiellonia’s 4.54 and has a higher conversion 12% vs 8%, with both-teams-to-score rates of 71% and 62%, which further supports the over. Based on this, the strongest signal is the over at the 2.5 line (pick: Over 2.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select 1/1 as the strongest signal because Korona has a higher xG (1.97 vs 1.61 for Jagiellonia), averages 16.93 shots per match versus 13.46, and has a conversion rate of 12% compared to 8%, indicating an offensive edge. At the half, the home side led in 36% of matches and scores an average of 0.86 goals by the break, while the visitors average 0.54 goals by half-time and led at the break in only 15% of fixtures, which increases Korona’s chance to lead at the break. Korona is also strong after the break: they average 1.21 goals in second halves versus 0.54 for Jagiellonia, and overall the home team wins 50% of matches against 31% for the visitors, supporting the scenario of maintaining the lead. Alternatively, a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1) is possible because the visitors are level at the break in 77% of their games, but the strongest data signal is Korona holding the lead from half-time to full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Korona Kielce | Jagiellonia Białystok | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Korona Kielce is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Korona Kielce · 0.8 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Korona Kielce · 1.59 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Korona Kielce scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
Over / Under - Jagiellonia Białystok
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Korona Kielce · 1.3 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia Białystok
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Korona Kielce | Liga | Jagiellonia Białystok | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.73 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Korona Kielce 0 - 0 - 1 Jagiellonia Białystok. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Korona Kielce 1:1 Jagiellonia Białystok. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
Korona Kielce score 1.30 goals per game on average and Jagiellonia Białystok 1.59. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Korona Kielce's matches and 67% of Jagiellonia Białystok's.
What form are Korona Kielce and Jagiellonia Białystok in?
Over the last 5 games Korona Kielce have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Jagiellonia Białystok 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Korona Kielce vs Jagiellonia Białystok?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.