Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice: match statistics
Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Korona Kielce played Piast Gliwice in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 1 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Korona Kielce: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Piast Gliwice: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Korona Kielce scores 1.23 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Piast Gliwice scores 1.30 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Korona Kielce 53%, Piast Gliwice 57%. Over 2.5: Korona Kielce 43%, Piast Gliwice 53%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Piast Gliwice has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.62. Korona Kielce: 15.1 shots per match, Piast Gliwice: 15.0.
Match halves
Korona Kielce: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.63. Piast Gliwice: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Korona Kielce: 16-30 (10 goals). Piast Gliwice: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Korona Kielce at home scores on average 1.4 goals and concedes 1.07 per match, while Piast away scores 1.33 and concedes 1.53, giving the hosts a clear defensive advantage. Korona creates more chances (on average 16 shots and 4.13 on target per match versus 13.47 shots and 4.07 on target for Piast) and has a higher home xG 1.72 compared to 1.57 for the visitors, indicating better quality of created chances. Additionally, Korona has a lower share of matches without a goal (13% vs 27% for Piast) and keeps clean sheets more often (33% vs 13%), with a home goal difference of +5 versus Piast’s -3 on the road. Piast’s case is strengthened by better form in the last 5 matches (10 goals and 1.4 pts on average vs Korona’s 7 goals and 1.0 pt), but Piast’s high away loss rate (47%) limits their chances. Considering the advantage in chance quality (xG 1.72 vs 1.57), fewer goals conceded (1.07 vs 1.53) and lower FTS (13% vs 27%), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The scenario of Both Teams To Score (BTTS - Yes) is more likely: season BTTS rates are 47% for Korona and 67% for Piast, rising in the last 5 matches to 60% and 80% respectively. Both sides create and concede a significant number of chances — attacking xG is 1.84 (Korona) and 1.57 (Piast), with xG against at 1.44 and 1.58, meaning on average both teams allow opponents over 1.4 xG per game. In the last 5 fixtures Korona scored 7 and conceded 7 (1.4 goals per game), while Piast scored 10 and conceded 8 (2.0 and 1.6 per game), which supports a realistic probability of goals from both sides. Additionally, Piast has only 13% clean sheets this season, and the league BTTS rate is 59%, reducing the likelihood of a No Goal outcome; in light of these figures I assess BTTS at roughly 70% vs 30%, hence the recommendation: Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.71 xG for Korona and 1.51 xG for Piast, totaling 3.22 expected goals — significantly above the league average of 2.73. Korona produces 1.84 xG per match with a shot conversion rate of 8% and a season goals average of 1.27, while Piast posts 1.57 xG, 10% conversion and 1.33 goals on average; in the last 5 matches Korona averaged 1.4 goals and Piast 2.0. Seasonal indicators show Over 1.5 in 67% of Korona’s games and 80% of Piast’s, and Over 2.5 in 40% (Korona) and 67% (Piast); both teams score at least once in 47%/67% of matches, supporting a higher-goal outcome. A Poisson distribution with λ=3.22 yields approximately 83% probability for Over 1.5, 62% for Over 2.5 and 40% for Over 3.5, making the strongest signal an over on the 1.5 line. Therefore I recommend the over 1.5 as the most probable bet with a high safety margin.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Korona win by full-time (X/1). A draw at the break is justified because Korona were level at half-time in 53% of home matches (leadingAtHT_home 13%, drawingAtHT_home 53%, trailingAtHT_home 33%), while visitors average 0.53 goals before the break versus 0.27 for the home side (scoredAVGHT_away 0.53 vs scoredAVGHT_home 0.27). In the second half Korona hold the advantage: they average 1.6 goals after the break (AVG_2hg_home 1.6), win second halves in 40% of cases versus 27% for Piast (wins_2hg_percentage_home 40% vs 27%), and score heavily in the closing stages — 9 goals in minutes 76–90 compared with 7 conceded by Piast in the same period. xG also favors the home team: xG_for_avg_home 1.84 versus 1.57 for the visitors and xG_against_avg_home 1.44 versus 1.58 for Piast, giving Korona approximately +0.40 net xG, which supports a turnaround in the second half. Therefore I assigned the largest share to X/1 (31%), X/X 15% and 2/2 20% as secondary scenarios, with the remaining options being less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Korona Kielce | Piast Gliwice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Piast Gliwice is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Korona Kielce · 1.4 pts / match - Piast Gliwice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Piast Gliwice is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Korona Kielce · 1.3 goals / match - Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Korona Kielce · 1.33 goals / match - Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Piast Gliwice keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Piast Gliwice scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
Over / Under - Piast Gliwice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Korona Kielce · 1 pts / match - Piast Gliwice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Piast Gliwice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Korona Kielce | Liga | Piast Gliwice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Korona Kielce 0 - 1 - 0 Piast Gliwice. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Korona Kielce 1:1 Piast Gliwice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
Korona Kielce score 1.23 goals per game on average and Piast Gliwice 1.30. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Korona Kielce's matches and 57% of Piast Gliwice's.
What form are Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice in?
Over the last 5 games Korona Kielce have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Piast Gliwice 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.