KR vs ÍBV: match statistics
KR vs ÍBV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KR played ÍBV in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 12 July 2026. Venue: Alvogenvöllurinn. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
KR: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. ÍBV: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
KR scores 3.43 and concedes 2.43 goals per match. ÍBV scores 1.69 and concedes 2.00. League average: 4.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KR 93%, ÍBV 77%. Over 2.5: KR 93%, ÍBV 62%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
KR has higher xG: 2.44 vs 1.33. KR: 20.5 shots per match, ÍBV: 11.5.
Match halves
KR: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.64. ÍBV: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
KR: 76-90+ (11 goals). ÍBV: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.00 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 4.75, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is KR — I back the home win, as they win 86% of home matches, have a positive goal difference of +12 and score an average of 3.86 goals per game. ÍBV has an excellent overall run (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, 14 goals in those five games and 2.6 pts per match), but they perform worse away – only 17% wins and an average of 1.5 goals per game. KR also dominates in quality of chances: home xG 2.51 versus ÍBV away xG 1.36, 9.43 shots on target per game versus 3.5 and possession 63% versus 53%. Both teams are defensively vulnerable (KR concedes 2.14 goals at home, ÍBV concedes 2.17 away and KR conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches — 2.8 per game), which suggests an open match with a shooting advantage for the hosts. Considering KR’s statistical edge and the visitors’ weaker away numbers, I estimate the probability of a home win at 70%, draw 18% and away win 12%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams display very high season BTTS rates: KR 71% and ÍBV 83%, with the league average at 74%; additionally, in the last 5 matches both sides recorded BTTS in 80% of fixtures. Over the season KR scores 1.86 and concedes 1.86 goals per match, while ÍBV scores 1.50 and concedes 2.17; in the last 5 matches KR had 15 goals for and 14 against (avg. 3.0/2.8), and ÍBV 14 for and 4 against (avg. 2.8/0.8). xG and shot metrics confirm both teams create chances: KR xG 1.32 with xG against 1.39, ÍBV xG 1.36 with xG against 1.57; shots on target 4.57 (KR) and 3.5 (ÍBV) and conversion rates 17% vs 13% show KR’s finishing edge but do not eliminate the opponent’s scoring potential. Clean sheets are rare — KR has 14% clean sheets this season, ÍBV 0% — which reduces the likelihood either team will finish the match without conceding/scoring; 57% and 67% of matches over 2.5 goals for KR and ÍBV respectively further increases the probability of both teams on the scoresheet. On this basis the strongest signal is BTTS - Yes — I estimate probability at 85% vs 15%, because the season profiles 71%/83%, 80% form in the last 5 and ÍBV’s lack of clean sheets strongly support both teams scoring in the match.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG, KR has an attacking xG of 1.32 and xG against of 1.39, while ÍBV has attacking xG 1.36 and xG against 1.57; averaging these yields a projection of 1.45 goals for the home side and 1.38 for the visitors (total 2.83). Season percentages of matches over 1.5 goals are 86% for KR and 100% for ÍBV, and the league average goals per game is 4.0, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Both teams have high BTTS rates: 71% (KR) and 83% (ÍBV); in the last 5 matches KR scored 15 goals (3.0 avg) and ÍBV 14 goals (2.8 avg), confirming a tendency toward high-scoring games. Additionally KR averages 4.57 on-target shots with a conversion rate of 17%, versus 3.5 on-target shots and 13% conversion for ÍBV, suggesting greater home efficiency and further support for overs. Therefore the safest option is Over 1.5 (estimated 92%), Over 2.5 I assess at 66%, and Over 3.5 at 35%; I recommend backing the Over at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1: KR led at the break in 43% of this season’s matches and averages 0.86 goals in the first half versus 0.67 for ÍBV, giving the home side an advantage in the HT phase. Additionally, KR averages 4.57 shots on target compared to 3.5 for the visitors and has a higher conversion rate (17% vs 13%), so with similar xG (1.32 vs 1.36) the hosts are more efficient. Season-long figures — 43% wins for KR versus 17% for ÍBV and 1.43 points per game at home versus 0.83 for the visitors — support the conclusion that KR is more likely to maintain a lead and win. However, form must be accounted for: ÍBV have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and led at half-time in 60% of those games, so I assess the probability of 1/1 as moderate rather than overwhelming.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KR | ÍBV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ÍBV is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - KR · 2.6 pts / match - ÍBV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KR is 103% better for: goals scored per match.
3.43 goals / match - KR · 1.69 goals / match - ÍBV
ÍBV is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.43 goals / match - KR · 2 goals / match - ÍBV
KR scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while ÍBV keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
ÍBV scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while KR keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KR
Over / Under - ÍBV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KR is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - KR · 1.31 pts / match - ÍBV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
ÍBV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KR
ÍBV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| KR | Liga | ÍBV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 5.86 | 4.00 | ▼ 3.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 93% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 93% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 14% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 88% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): KR 3 - 0 - 1 ÍBV. Average goals 4.75, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KR vs ÍBV?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished KR 5:2 ÍBV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KR and ÍBV?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches KR won 3, ÍBV won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KR vs ÍBV?
KR score 3.43 goals per game on average and ÍBV 1.69. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 93% of KR's matches and 77% of ÍBV's.
What form are KR and ÍBV in?
Over the last 5 games KR have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and ÍBV 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KR vs ÍBV?
The statistical background for KR vs ÍBV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.