KR vs Stjarnan: match statistics
KR vs Stjarnan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KR played Stjarnan in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 19 July 2026. Venue: Alvogenvöllurinn. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
KR: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Stjarnan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
KR scores 3.53 and concedes 2.40 goals per match. Stjarnan scores 2.00 and concedes 2.21. League average: 4.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KR 93%, Stjarnan 93%. Over 2.5: KR 93%, Stjarnan 86%. League level: BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
KR has higher xG: 2.47 vs 1.89. KR: 21.0 shots per match, Stjarnan: 15.4.
Match halves
KR: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.73. Stjarnan: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
KR: 76-90+ (11 goals). Stjarnan: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.05 goals per match, BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). KR averages 4.0 goals per home match and has an 88% home win rate, while Stjarnan averages 2.0 goals on the road and wins only 33% of away fixtures, giving KR a clear offensive edge. KR averages 21.75 shots with 9.5 on target and records xG 2.56 per home match, compared to Stjarnan’s 14.67 shots, 6.0 on target and xG 1.73; conversion rates are 18% versus 14% — indicating higher quality and quantity of chances for KR. KR’s defense concedes 2.13 goals at home on average, while Stjarnan concedes 1.83 away; neither team keeps clean sheets (0% clean sheets), so both sides are likely to score. Although the last 5 matches show similar form (KR 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, 1.4 points per game; Stjarnan 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 1.6 points per game), league position advantage (2nd vs 7th) and possession dominance (63% vs 58%) favor KR, therefore I estimate around a 70% probability for the home side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show very strong BTTS signals: KR has a seasonal BTTS rate of 88%, and Stjarnan 100%; in the last 5 matches the values are 80% and 100% respectively. Seasonal scoring averages are 2.0 goals per match for each side, with KR conceding 2.5 on average and Stjarnan 1.83, indicating goal exchange. xG confirms an attacking profile — KR’s attacking xG is 2.01 versus Stjarnan 1.73, while xG against are 1.94 and 1.71, so both sides generate roughly 1.7–2.0 xG per game. Additionally, both teams have 0% clean sheets on the season, and the over 2.5 + BTTS combination occurs for the home team in 88% and the away team in 83%, while the league average goals is 4.05. On this basis the strongest signal is BTTS = Yes; I assign it 90% probability versus 10% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.86 goals for KR and 1.84 for Stjarnan, totaling ~3.70 goals, calculated from xG (KR xG_for 2.01 vs Stjarnan xG_against 1.71; Stjarnan xG_for 1.73 vs KR xG_against 1.94). Season percentages show a high share of Over 2.5 goals matches: KR 88% and Stjarnan 83%, while in the last 5 games KR has 80% and Stjarnan 100% >2.5 results, which strongly supports Over 2.5. Both teams also record high BTTS: KR 88% and Stjarnan 100%, and Over2.5+BTTS combinations occurred for KR in 88% and for Stjarnan in 83% of matches; in the last 5 matches KR scored 15 and conceded 13 goals, Stjarnan scored 11 and conceded 8. Shot statistics confirm offensive pressure (KR averaging 15.88 shots and 6.88 on target; Stjarnan 14.67 and 6.0) with conversion rates 13%/14%, which supports the expected 3.70 goals. On this basis the best line to play is Over 2.5 (the Over side), since the expected 3.70 goals exceeds the line by ~1.2 goals and seasonal >2.5 metrics provide a strong numerical signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics indicate a high-scoring match: both teams average 2.0 goals per game, home matches average 4.5 goals versus 3.83 for away matches, and BTTS rates are 88% for KR and 100% for Stjarnan. At Half-Time KR led in 38% of matches (3 instances) and have accrued 12 HT points, while Stjarnan led in only 17% (1 instance) with 5 HT points; average half-time goals are 1.25 for the home side versus 1.0 for the visitors. After the break, however, hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals (conceded_2hg_avg_home) compared to 0.5 conceded by away teams, and KR conceded as many as 6 goals in the 46–60 minute window, indicating a risk of losing a lead. Despite KR’s higher xG (2.01 vs 1.73), stronger away second-half returns (points_2hg_away 9 vs 8 and ppg_2hg_away 1.5 vs 1.0) support a 1/2 Half-Time/Full-Time scenario — the home team leading at the break with a turnaround to an away victory by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KR | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stjarnan is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - KR · 1.6 pts / match - Stjarnan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KR is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
3.53 goals / match - KR · 2 goals / match - Stjarnan
Stjarnan is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.4 goals / match - KR · 2.21 goals / match - Stjarnan
KR scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 14 matches).
Stjarnan scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while KR keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KR
Over / Under - Stjarnan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KR is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - KR · 1.21 pts / match - Stjarnan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KR
Stjarnan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| KR | Liga | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 5.93 | 4.05 | ▲ 4.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 93% | 75% | ▲ 93% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 93% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 13% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 89% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): KR 1 - 0 - 2 Stjarnan. Average goals 4.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KR vs Stjarnan?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished KR 5:0 Stjarnan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KR and Stjarnan?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches KR won 1, Stjarnan won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KR vs Stjarnan?
KR score 3.53 goals per game on average and Stjarnan 2.00. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 93% of KR's matches and 93% of Stjarnan's.
What form are KR and Stjarnan in?
Over the last 5 games KR have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Stjarnan 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KR vs Stjarnan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.