KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge: match statistics
KRC Genk outperform Cercle Brugge in terms of expected goals at their own stadium (xG 2.06 vs 1.37), indicating a clear offensive advantage for the hosts. Genk average 1.4 goals per match at home with high possession (65%), while Cercle scored only 1 goal on average away. However, Cercle Brugge have a solid defense in away matches (averaging 0.8 goals conceded, 50% clean sheets), which may make the task difficult for the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Genk 1.0 PPG, Cercle 1.4 PPG), but the xG advantage and Genk's home statistics speak in their favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a difficult but victorious match for the hosts, with the possibility of a draw due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KRC Genk played Cercle Brugge in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
KRC Genk: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Cercle Brugge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
KRC Genk scores 1.33 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Cercle Brugge scores 1.29 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KRC Genk 81%, Cercle Brugge 62%. Over 2.5: KRC Genk 62%, Cercle Brugge 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
KRC Genk has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.51. KRC Genk: 16.3 shots per match, Cercle Brugge: 13.4.
Match halves
KRC Genk: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.71. Cercle Brugge: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
KRC Genk: 46-60 (6 goals). Cercle Brugge: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KRC Genk outperform Cercle Brugge in terms of expected goals at their own stadium (xG 2.06 vs 1.37), indicating a clear offensive advantage for the hosts. Genk average 1.4 goals per match at home with high possession (65%), while Cercle scored only 1 goal on average away. However, Cercle Brugge have a solid defense in away matches (averaging 0.8 goals conceded, 50% clean sheets), which may make the task difficult for the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Genk 1.0 PPG, Cercle 1.4 PPG), but the xG advantage and Genk's home statistics speak in their favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a difficult but victorious match for the hosts, with the possibility of a draw due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KRC Genk | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cercle Brugge is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - KRC Genk · 1.4 pts / match - Cercle Brugge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cercle Brugge is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - KRC Genk · 1.43 goals / match - Cercle Brugge
KRC Genk scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Cercle Brugge keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Cercle Brugge scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while KRC Genk keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KRC Genk
Over / Under - Cercle Brugge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cercle Brugge is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - KRC Genk · 1.1 pts / match - Cercle Brugge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KRC Genk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cercle Brugge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KRC Genk
Cercle Brugge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KRC Genk | Liga | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.90 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 81% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 45% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KRC Genk 0 - 1 - 0 Cercle Brugge. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
The Pro League match finished KRC Genk 1:1 Cercle Brugge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
KRC Genk score 1.33 goals per game on average and Cercle Brugge 1.29. The Pro League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 81% of KRC Genk's matches and 62% of Cercle Brugge's.
What form are KRC Genk and Cercle Brugge in?
Over the last 5 games KRC Genk have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Cercle Brugge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
The statistical background for KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.