KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge: match statistics
KRC Genk outperform Cercle Brugge in terms of expected goals at their own stadium (xG 2.06 vs 1.37), indicating a clear offensive advantage for the hosts. Genk average 1.4 goals per match at home with high possession (65%), while Cercle scored only 1 goal on average away. However, Cercle Brugge have a solid defense in away matches (averaging 0.8 goals conceded, 50% clean sheets), which may make the task difficult for the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Genk 1.0 PPG, Cercle 1.4 PPG), but the xG advantage and Genk's home statistics speak in their favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a difficult but victorious match for the hosts, with the possibility of a draw due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KRC Genk play Cercle Brugge in Pro League (Belgium). The match date is 25 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
KRC Genk: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Cercle Brugge: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
KRC Genk scores 1.41 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Cercle Brugge scores 1.47 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KRC Genk 66%, Cercle Brugge 67%. Over 2.5: KRC Genk 54%, Cercle Brugge 58%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
KRC Genk has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.62. KRC Genk: 16.1 shots per match, Cercle Brugge: 14.3.
Match halves
KRC Genk: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.80. Cercle Brugge: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
KRC Genk: 61-75 (12 goals). Cercle Brugge: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
KRC Genk outperform Cercle Brugge in terms of expected goals at their own stadium (xG 2.06 vs 1.37), indicating a clear offensive advantage for the hosts. Genk average 1.4 goals per match at home with high possession (65%), while Cercle scored only 1 goal on average away. However, Cercle Brugge have a solid defense in away matches (averaging 0.8 goals conceded, 50% clean sheets), which may make the task difficult for the hosts. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Genk 1.0 PPG, Cercle 1.4 PPG), but the xG advantage and Genk's home statistics speak in their favor. Taking all factors into account, I expect a difficult but victorious match for the hosts, with the possibility of a draw due to the visitors' defensive solidity.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KRC Genk | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KRC Genk is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - KRC Genk · 1.61 goals / match - Cercle Brugge
KRC Genk scores in 80% of matches (33 of 41 matches), while Cercle Brugge keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Cercle Brugge scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while KRC Genk keeps a clean sheet in 22% (9 of 41 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — KRC Genk
Over / Under — Cercle Brugge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cercle Brugge is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - KRC Genk · 1.39 pts / match - Cercle Brugge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KRC Genk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cercle Brugge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 28%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KRC Genk
Cercle Brugge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KRC Genk | Liga | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.73 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KRC Genk 0 - 1 - 0 Cercle Brugge. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
The Pro League match finished KRC Genk 1:1 Cercle Brugge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
KRC Genk score 1.41 goals per game on average and Cercle Brugge 1.47. The Pro League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 66% of KRC Genk's matches and 67% of Cercle Brugge's.
What form are KRC Genk and Cercle Brugge in?
Over the last 5 games KRC Genk have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Cercle Brugge 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
The statistical background for KRC Genk vs Cercle Brugge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.