Krka vs Bistrica: match statistics

Bistrica sit 3rd in the table, while Krka are ninth, indicating a clear difference in their performances so far. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.6 goals per game during that run, whereas Krka have managed just 2 wins in their last five appearances. The hosts have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, but have conceded exactly the same number—an average of 2.2 goals per game—which highlights their major defensive problems. Bistrica conceded 7 goals over the same period, 4 fewer than their opponents, and also averaged 1.8 points per game compared with Krka’s 1.2. Home advantage could keep the hosts in contention, but the better league position, stronger winning form and more solid defence all point towards a Bistrica victory.

Krka’s latest form clearly points towards goals at both ends, as they have scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded exactly the same number across their last five matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of those games. Bistrica also possesses positive offensive potential: they have scored 8 goals in their last five outings, averaging 1.6 per match, while conceding 7. The teams’ average xG figures are similar—1.29 for Krka and 1.22 for Bistrica—while their xG conceded stands at 1.72 and 1.56 respectively, indicating vulnerability in both defences. The lack of complete season data lowers confidence in the prediction, and Bistrica’s latest BTTS rate is 0%; however, the five-match scoring and defensive records provide a slightly stronger argument for both teams to score. Therefore, the most likely scenario is BTTS - Yes.

In their last five matches, Krka scored an average of 2.2 goals but also conceded 2.2, resulting in a high average of 4.4 goals per game. Over the same period, Bistrica scored 1.6 goals and allowed opponents 1.4, meaning its matches produced an average of 3.0 goals. The 2.5 line was surpassed in 80% of the last five matches involving both teams, although such a small sample limits prediction confidence. The xG values stand at 1.29 for Krka and 1.22 for Bistrica, while both defenses allowed 1.72 and 1.56 xG respectively, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. The strongest signal is Over 1.5, as the combined projection of 2.80 goals provides this line with a clearly greater safety margin than Over 2.5.

Krka has a clearer first-half profile: over their last five matches, they have averaged 1.2 goals before the break, compared with just 0.4 for Bistrica. The hosts led at the break in 40% of those games and have a positive first-half goal balance of +2, while Bistrica, despite the same percentage of half-time leads, were trailing after 45 minutes in as many as 40% of their matches. The strongest individual HT/FT scenario therefore remains Krka leading at half-time and securing the final win (1/1). However, Bistrica’s superior overall form must also be taken into account: they have collected 1.8 points per match compared with Krka’s 1.2 and have a positive second-half goal balance of +2. Consequently, the probabilities of scenarios involving a turnaround by the visitors have been increased significantly.