Krka vs Gorica: match statistics
Krka vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Krka play Gorica in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match date is 6 May 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Krka: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Gorica: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Krka scores 1.07 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.03 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Krka 43%, Gorica 60%. Over 2.5: Krka 60%, Gorica 53%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Krka has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.32. Krka: 9.9 shots per match, Gorica: 9.9.
Match halves
Krka: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.43. Gorica: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Krka: 16-30 (8 goals). Gorica: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I forecast a draw: Krka at home scores on average 0.62 goals per game and concedes 1.77 per game, while Gorica away scores 0.85 goals per game and concedes 1.54 per game. Differences in xG and chance creation are minimal — Krka has average xG 1.23 at home versus 1.18 xG for Gorica away, and average shots per game are 9.15 vs 9.42 with shots on target 3.00 vs 2.67, indicating a similar volume of chances. In the last 5 matches Gorica scored 7 goals and averaged 0.6 points per game, whereas Krka has 3 goals and 0.4 points in that period, so the visitors are slightly better in form. The hosts’ main advantage is a lower home loss rate (54% for Krka vs 69% losses for Gorica away) and a higher clean sheet rate (23% vs 15%), but Krka fail to score in 54% of home games (Gorica fail to score in 46% of away games), which limits their offensive edge. Considering the low efficiency (conversion rate around 7% for both teams) and similar xG, I assign the highest probability to a draw at 45%, 35% for a home win due to a small edge in xG and shot accuracy, and 20% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Krka | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorica is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Krka · 1.4 pts / match - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Krka · 1.5 goals / match - Gorica
Krka scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Krka keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Krka
Over / Under — Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Krka is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Krka · 1 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Krka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Krka
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Krka | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.77 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 54% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Krka 1 - 0 - 0 Gorica. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Krka vs Gorica?
The 2. SNL match finished Krka 1:4 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Krka vs Gorica?
Krka score 1.07 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.03. The 2. SNL average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Krka's matches and 60% of Gorica's.
What form are Krka and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Krka have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Gorica 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Krka vs Gorica?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.