Krško vs Dekani: match statistics

Krško come into the match after a run of 3 wins, a draw and a defeat in their last 5 games, scoring as many as 11 goals during that period, compared with Dekani’s 7. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.17 and register 4 shots on target per game, while Dekani have yet to score away from home, have not recorded a shot on target and have failed to score in 100% of such matches. The visitors control possession better on the road, averaging 60% compared with Krško’s 45%, but this translates into only 0.80 xG. Krško’s defence is a clear risk, as they concede an average of 3.5 goals at home despite an xG against of 1.88, but Dekani have limited attacking potential. Home advantage and significantly better current scoring form support a home win, although their defensive issues increase the likelihood of a closely contested match.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as Dekani’s seasonal data shows an average of no goals scored, no shots on target, and no big chances converted so far. The visitors have failed to score in 100% of their matches to date, while both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 0%, compared with the league average of just 35%. Krško keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches and concede an average of 1.0 goal, while Dekani’s attacking potential according to xG is only 0.80. The last five matches offer a slightly greater chance of goals, with Dekani averaging 1.4 goals scored and Krško conceding 1.6, but the visitors’ BTTS rate during this period was only 20%. Krško should create more danger, recording 1.44 xG and 3.0 shots on target per match compared with Dekani’s 0.80 xG and 0.0 shots on target. However, the most likely outcome remains one in which at least one team fails to score.

Krško have averaged 2.2 goals over their last five matches, but their average xG was only 1.13, suggesting partially above-average finishing efficiency. Dekani scored 1.4 goals per game during this period with an xG of 1.36; however, they have yet to score in their away fixtures in the season data and average only 6.0 shots. The hosts have recently allowed 1.79 xG, making a goal for the visitors a realistic possibility, but the profile of both teams does not point to regular four-goal games. All previous meetings between the two sides finished below 3.5 goals, while the projected total of 2.35 goals provides a clear edge for Under 3.5.

Krško have the clear attacking edge: they average 1.5 goals at home, with an xG of 1.44, while Dekani generate just 0.80 xG away from home. The hosts have led at the break in 50% of their home matches so far, whereas Dekani have been behind at half-time in 100% of their away fixtures. Their last-five-match form also favours Krško, who have won 60% of those games and scored an average of 2.2 goals, compared with Dekani’s 40% win rate and 1.4 goals scored per match. After the break, Krško have averaged 1.4 goals across their last five appearances while conceding just 0.4, increasing the likelihood of them maintaining or extending their lead. The most likely outcome is therefore an HT/FT 1/1, with the hosts leading at half-time and securing the win at the final whistle.