KSZO vs KS Hetman Zamosc: match statistics

KSZO remain unbeaten this season, with a record of 5 wins and 4 draws, and have collected 11 points from their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws. The hosts are particularly solid defensively: at home, they concede just 0.8 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 60% of their matches, while Hetman concede as many as 2.75 goals per away game and have failed to keep a clean sheet. The visitors’ recent form clearly weakens their prospects, having lost 3 of their previous 5 matches and conceded 13 goals in the process, while averaging just 0.8 points per game. Hetman do create plenty of chances, posting an average away xG of 2.97 and 13 shots on target, but their conversion rate is only 7%. Therefore, KSZO are more likely to capitalize on home advantage and their opponents’ defensive weaknesses.

KSZO’s season-long BTTS rate stands at 60%, while Hetman Zamość’s is as high as 100%, both clearly above the league average of 56%. Hetman have kept no clean sheets and concede an average of 2.75 goals per match, strongly supporting the prospect of the home side scoring, especially as KSZO average 1.80 goals per game. The visitors are also dangerous in attack, scoring an average of 1.75 goals, while KSZO, despite their strong defensive form in their last five matches, still have only a 20% clean-sheet rate for the season. The main argument against the BTTS signal is KSZO’s significant defensive improvement: they have conceded just 0.4 goals per match across their last five fixtures, meaning the BTTS scenario does not have a substantial edge. Nevertheless, Hetman’s weak defence and their record of 100% of matches featuring goals for both teams make BTTS - Yes the most likely outcome.

KSZO score an average of 1.80 goals per match, while Hetman Zamość concede as many as 2.75, clearly increasing the hosts’ scoring potential. The visitors average 1.75 goals and register as many as 13 shots on target per game, whereas KSZO keep a clean sheet in only 20% of matches. At least 2 goals were scored in 80% of KSZO’s games and in all of Hetman’s matches, while both teams went over the 2.5-goal line in 60% and 75% of cases, respectively. The last five games further highlight the visitors’ defensive weaknesses: Hetman conceded 13 goals, averaging 2.60 per match, while scoring 9. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the profile of both teams points to a high probability of at least two goals, even in a more cautious match scenario.

KSZO have been clearly more stable over their last five matches: they have won 60% of their games, remain unbeaten, and conceded just 0.4 goals per match on average, while Hetman lost 60% of their outings and allowed opponents to score 2.6 goals per game. The hosts led at the break in 60% of their recent matches, whereas Hetman went into half-time trailing in as many as 67%; additionally, KSZO conceded just 0.2 goals per match before the interval, compared with 1.0 for the visitors. This advantage should persist after the restart, as KSZO conceded only 0.2 goals on average in the second half of their recent matches, while Hetman conceded 1.67. Although the visitors generate a high 2.97 xG and average 13 shots on target, this has not translated into results: they have a 0% win rate and average just 0.5 points per match. Therefore, the most likely scenario is KSZO leading at half-time and securing the victory at full-time: 1/1.