KTP vs KäPa: match statistics
KTP vs KäPa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KTP played KäPa in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
KTP: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. KäPa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
KTP scores 1.00 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. KäPa scores 1.40 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KTP 25%, KäPa 60%. Over 2.5: KTP 25%, KäPa 60%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
KTP has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.22. KTP: 16.0 shots per match, KäPa: 9.4.
Match halves
KTP: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75. KäPa: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
KTP: 0-15 (1 goals). KäPa: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KTP at home this season has not yet conceded a goal — averaging 0.0 goals conceded per match and 100% clean sheets — and has won all home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goal scored, 15 shots and 6 shots on target per match. Their home xG is 1.90 versus an opponent xG of 0.57, indicating the hosts create better chances and effectively limit opportunities. KäPa away scores on average 1.67 goals per match (9 goals in the last 5), averaging 9.33 shots and 4 on target with an 18% conversion rate, but concedes 1.0 goal per away match and has an opponent xG of 1.43. In the last 5 matches KäPa have scored 9 goals and average 2.0 points per match, while KTP have 5 goals and 1.4 points per match, giving the visitors a form advantage. Due to KTP’s perfect home defence (0.0 conceded and 100% clean sheets) and superiority in possession (57% vs 43%) and shots (15 vs 9.33), I give a slight edge to the hosts, but KäPa’s high efficiency (18% conversion) keeps a realistic chance of a draw or away goals.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
KäPa presents a strong attacking signal: they average 1.67 goals per match this season and have BTTS in 67% of games, scoring 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 per match). KTP concedes heavily at home — averaging 2.0 goals conceded per match this season and 1.6 in the last 5, with no clean sheets at home (0%), which increases the likelihood KäPa will score. At the same time KTP has a season BTTS of 50% and averages 1.0 goals in the last 5, while KäPa concedes 1.0 goals on average this season (1.4 in the last 5), so there are realistic chances for a goal from the hosts as well. xG metrics show balanced offensive activity (xG for: 1.21 vs 1.22; xG against: 1.30 for KTP vs 1.43 for KäPa), and shots on target 4.0 vs 2.5 further favor the visitors in creating scoring opportunities. Considering the teams’ average BTTS (mean 59% from 50% and 67%), KTP’s lack of clean sheets and KäPa’s form, I project 68% for YES and 32% for NO — best pick: BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is approximately 2.58: home xG calculated as (1.21 + 1.43)/2 = 1.32 and away xG as (1.22 + 1.30)/2 = 1.26. Seasonal stats show KTP has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, and KäPa 67%, with both teams having 100% of matches with at least 0.5 goals. KäPa averages 4.0 shots on target from 9.33 attempts with 18% conversion, KTP 2.5 on target from 9.5 attempts with 11% conversion; additionally KTP concedes 2.0 goals per match on average, which increases the probability of away goals. Over 2.5 occurred in 50% of KTP’s matches and 67% of KäPa’s this season (last 5 matches: KTP 40%, KäPa 60%), and the league averages 2.24 goals per match; comparing this to xG ≈ 2.58 I assess Over 2.5 at ~58%, while Over 3.5 is low at ~28%. The strongest signal is the 1.5 line (KTP 100% + KäPa 67% and the league’s home advantage 67%), therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 (estimated Over 1.5 ≈ 87%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away side leading at the break and winning the match (2/2) — I assign it a 53% probability, because KäPa have won 67% of their matches (winPercentage_away=67.0), KTP have not won any (winPercentage_home=0.0), and the visitors led at half-time in 3 of 3 cases (leadingAtHT_away=3; leadingAtHTPercentage_away=100.0). The away team averages 1.67 goals per match and has 4.0 shots on target (seasonScoredAVG_away=1.67; shotsOnTargetAVG_away=4.0), while the hosts average 1.0 goals and 2.5 shots on target (seasonScoredAVG_home=1.0; shotsOnTargetAVG_home=2.5) and concede 2.0 goals per match on average (seasonConcededAVG_home=2.0). At half-time KäPa have not conceded any goals (concededAVGHT_away=0.0) and average 1.33 goals by the break (scoredAVGHT_away=1.33), whereas KTP average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded by half-time (scoredAVGHT_home=1.0; concededAVGHT_home=1.0), so the first-half advantage lies with the visitors. Additionally, the visitors are more efficient — a 18% conversion rate versus 11% for the hosts (shot_conversion_rate_away=18.0; shot_conversion_rate_home=11.0) with comparable xG of 1.22 vs 1.21 (xg_for_avg_away=1.22; xg_for_avg_home=1.21), which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead. Consequently I assign smaller but noticeable chances for a turnaround to a draw in the second half (2/X 14% and X/2 12%), while home-win scenarios are marginal (1/1 2%, X/1 1%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KTP | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KTP is 9% better for: last-5 form.
1.75 pts / match - KTP · 1.6 pts / match - KäPa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KäPa is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - KTP · 1.4 goals / match - KäPa
KTP is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - KTP · 1.4 goals / match - KäPa
KTP scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
KäPa scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while KTP keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KTP
Over / Under - KäPa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KäPa is 220% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - KTP · 2.4 pts / match - KäPa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KTP - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KäPa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KTP
KäPa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| KTP | Liga | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 41% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 41% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 35% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 59% | • 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of KTP vs KäPa?
The Ykkösliiga match finished KTP 2:1 KäPa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KTP vs KäPa?
KTP score 1.00 goals per game on average and KäPa 1.40. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 25% of KTP's matches and 60% of KäPa's.
What form are KTP and KäPa in?
Over the last 5 games KTP have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and KäPa 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KTP vs KäPa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for KTP vs KäPa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.