KTS Weszło vs Mławianka Mława: match statistics

KTS Weszło are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 4 wins and 1 draw, while Mławianka Mława have lost 2 of their last five fixtures. During this period, the hosts scored 9 goals and conceded just 4, whereas the visitors netted 8 and conceded 5. At home, KTS have won every match so far, averaging 2 goals per game, with a shot conversion rate of 20% compared to Mławianka’s 13% away from home. However, the visitors create more chances, averaging 15 shots, 10 shots on target and an xG of 1.87, higher than KTS’s 1.45, meaning they have a realistic chance of finding the net. The hosts hold a slight edge thanks to their more consistent run of results and significantly better chance conversion, although the match is expected to be closely contested.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the current form of both teams: in their last 5 matches, KTS Weszło and Mławianka have each recorded this outcome in 60% of games. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals and the visitors 1.6, with xG of 1.60 and 1.66 respectively. Mławianka’s away data shows an average of 2.0 goals scored and 10 shots on target per match, significantly increasing their chances of finding the net. KTS Weszło have failed to keep a clean sheet, with average xG conceded at 1.70, while the visitors’ defence allows an average xG of 1.92. Another supporting factor is the league BTTS average of 61%, making it more likely that both teams will score at least one goal.

In their last five matches, KTS Weszło averaged 1.8 goals scored, while Mławianka averaged 1.6, giving a combined attacking potential of 3.4 goals. The quality of chances created also points towards goals: average xG stands at 1.60 for the home side and 1.66 for the visitors, while their opponents allowed 1.39 and 1.71 xG respectively. In the last five matches involving both teams, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of cases, and both teams scored in 60% of matches. Over 1.5 offers the strongest edge, as even in a more cautious scenario, two goals are clearly more likely than a 0:0 or 1:0 result.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a KTS Weszło win, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 50% of their last five matches and subsequently won the match in 80% of those cases. During this period, KTS averaged 1.8 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded, while Mławianka recorded averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. The hosts are particularly solid after the break: they averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded, and did not lose any of their five second halves. The visitors also tend to start well, leading at the break in 50% of their last matches and conceding just 0.25 goals before half-time, which makes X/2 a significant alternative. However, KTS’s superior overall form—2.6 points per match compared with 1.8—shifts the forecast towards X/1.