Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United: match statistics
Kun Khalifat, despite a weaker position in the table, possesses a significant advantage as the host in this clash. The home team demonstrates better scoring efficiency in home matches (average 1 goal per match) compared to just 0.45 goals scored by Kwara United away. A key factor is the disastrous form of the guests in away matches – no wins (0% Win%) and as many as 64% losses, with a very high FTS% rate amounting to 64%. Kwara United also has a negative goal difference away (-10), confirming their difficulties playing away from home. Kun Khalifat, boasting a better average xG (1.24 vs 0.83) and higher ball possession (52% vs 47%), should control the course of the match and exploit the rival's weaknesses. Considering all statistics, the host has a real chance of securing three points, although the form of both teams in the last five matches is not impressive.
Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kun Khalifat played Kwara United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 28 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Kun Khalifat: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Kwara United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kun Khalifat scores 0.82 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Kwara United scores 0.81 and concedes 0.90. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kun Khalifat 55%, Kwara United 29%. Over 2.5: Kun Khalifat 32%, Kwara United 19%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Kun Khalifat has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.00. Kun Khalifat: 5.5 shots per match, Kwara United: 3.8.
Match halves
Kun Khalifat: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.55. Kwara United: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Kun Khalifat: 61-75 (5 goals). Kwara United: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kun Khalifat, despite a weaker position in the table, possesses a significant advantage as the host in this clash. The home team demonstrates better scoring efficiency in home matches (average 1 goal per match) compared to just 0.45 goals scored by Kwara United away. A key factor is the disastrous form of the guests in away matches – no wins (0% Win%) and as many as 64% losses, with a very high FTS% rate amounting to 64%. Kwara United also has a negative goal difference away (-10), confirming their difficulties playing away from home. Kun Khalifat, boasting a better average xG (1.24 vs 0.83) and higher ball possession (52% vs 47%), should control the course of the match and exploit the rival's weaknesses. Considering all statistics, the host has a real chance of securing three points, although the form of both teams in the last five matches is not impressive.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kun Khalifat | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.81 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kwara United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Kun Khalifat · 0.6 pts / match - Kwara United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kwara United is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Kun Khalifat · 0.9 goals / match - Kwara United
Kun Khalifat scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
Kwara United scores in 48% of matches (10 of 21 matches), while Kun Khalifat keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kun Khalifat
Over / Under - Kwara United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kwara United is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Kun Khalifat · 1.05 pts / match - Kwara United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kun Khalifat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kun Khalifat
Kwara United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kun Khalifat | Liga | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.05 | 1.85 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 37% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 38% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kun Khalifat 0 - 0 - 1 Kwara United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United?
The NPFL match finished Kun Khalifat 1:0 Kwara United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United?
Kun Khalifat score 0.82 goals per game on average and Kwara United 0.81. The NPFL average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Kun Khalifat's matches and 29% of Kwara United's.
What form are Kun Khalifat and Kwara United in?
Over the last 5 games Kun Khalifat have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Kwara United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kun Khalifat vs Kwara United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.