KuPS vs Oulu: match statistics
KuPS vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KuPS played Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
KuPS: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Oulu: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
KuPS scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Oulu scores 2.33 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KuPS 67%, Oulu 33%. Over 2.5: KuPS 33%, Oulu 33%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
KuPS has higher xG: 1.96 vs 1.43. KuPS: 15.3 shots per match, Oulu: 13.3.
Match halves
KuPS: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Oulu: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
KuPS: 76-90+ (2 goals). Oulu: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back KuPS to win (1) based on home advantage and superiority in chance creation. KuPS are unbeaten at home with 100% wins, averaging 26 shots per match, 10 on target, 71% possession and home xG of 3.03. Despite this, KuPS score only 1 goal per game on average with a 4% conversion rate and have conceded 8 goals in the last 5 matches, which weakens their defensive credibility (1.4 points per game in that period). Oulu away are top of the table (position 1), averaging 3 goals on the road with 14.5 shots and 5 shots on target and a high 21% conversion; in the last 5 games they have 9 goals and 1.8 points per game. Considering KuPS’s dominance in creating chances (xG 3.03, 26 shots) and Oulu’s efficiency (21% conversion, 3 away goals), I assess the probabilities as 55% for KuPS, 25% draw and 20% for Oulu.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes. Oulu have a strong away attack: averaging 3.0 goals scored, 14.5 shots and 5.0 shots on target with 21% conversion, creating a significant chance for an away goal. KuPS formally have 100% clean sheets at home and 0% BTTS in home games this season, which historically favors No, but that stat may be limited by a small sample size. In their last 5 matches KuPS conceded 8 goals (1.6 per match) with xG against 1.76, while Oulu scored 9 goals (1.8 per match) and have xG 1.31 in the last 5, so form supports both teams scoring. Additionally, Oulu’s seasonal xG 1.56 is higher than KuPS’s home xG against 1.09, and the advantage in chances 14.5 vs 11 shots and 5.0 vs 2.0 shots on target and conversion 21% vs 9% increases the likelihood the visitors will score. Considering these figures and the league BTTS 39% with 72% clean sheets, I assign a higher probability to BTTS - Yes at 60% versus No at 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and shot metrics I estimate expected goals at KuPS 1.34 and Oulu 1.33, totaling 2.67 (xG: KuPS 1.19 vs Oulu 1.56; xG against: KuPS 1.09 vs Oulu 1.49). Oulu generates more chances — on average 14.5 shots and 5.0 on target with a 21% conversion rate, versus 11.0 shots and 2.0 on target and 9% for KuPS — and in the last 5 matches Oulu has scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) compared to KuPS’s 5 goals (1.0). A Poisson model with λ=2.67 yields approximately a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals, ~50% for Over 2.5 and ~27% for Over 3.5. Since the projected total 2.67 is also above the league average of 2.28, the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is the Over 1.5 bet (≈75%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The data clearly indicate an offensive edge for Oulu: the visitors have an average xG of 1.56 versus KuPS’s 1.19, average 5 shots on target compared to 2, and a conversion rate of 21% versus the hosts’ 9%, translating into substantially more goal-scoring opportunities. First-half indicators also favor Oulu — the average goals at the break are 1.5 for the visitors versus 0.0 for KuPS, and seasonally the visitors have led at the break in 100% of cases versus 0% for the hosts, so there is a high likelihood that Oulu will hold the lead after 45 minutes. KuPS does have strong home defensive figures (100% clean sheets at home and on average 0.0 goals conceded), but in form over the last five matches Oulu performs better — 60% wins vs. 40% for KuPS, and the visitors led at the break in 40% of their last five matches versus 20% for the hosts. Given the superior xG, greater number of shots on target and higher efficiency for the visitors, the most probable scenario is Oulu leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 2/2); I assign this scenario a 49% probability, while a draw at half-time or a KuPS victory are considerably less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KuPS | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oulu is 29% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - KuPS · 3 pts / match - Oulu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oulu is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - KuPS · 2.33 goals / match - Oulu
Oulu is 103% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - KuPS · 0.33 goals / match - Oulu
KuPS scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Oulu scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while KuPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KuPS
Over / Under - Oulu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oulu is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - KuPS · 2.33 pts / match - Oulu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KuPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Oulu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KuPS
Oulu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| KuPS | Liga | Oulu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): KuPS 1 - 1 - 0 Oulu. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KuPS vs Oulu?
The Veikkausliiga match finished KuPS 3:2 Oulu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KuPS and Oulu?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches KuPS won 1, Oulu won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KuPS vs Oulu?
KuPS score 1.67 goals per game on average and Oulu 2.33. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 67% of KuPS's matches and 33% of Oulu's.
What form are KuPS and Oulu in?
Over the last 5 games KuPS have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Oulu 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KuPS vs Oulu?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.