Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kuressaare play Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Kuressaare: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kuressaare scores 0.95 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kuressaare 50%, Harju Jalgpallikool 50%. Over 2.5: Kuressaare 55%, Harju Jalgpallikool 70%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. Kuressaare: 11.4 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.3.
Match halves
Kuressaare: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Kuressaare: 76-90+ (6 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-1-3. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Harju Jalgpallikool holds a clear advantage heading into this match: away they average 2.0 goals scored and concede only 0.5 per game, whereas Kuressaare at home scores 1.5 and concedes 1.5. In the last 5 matches the visitors have netted 7 goals and recorded 3 wins, while the hosts have scored 4, won just 1 game and conceded 11 goals in that period. The visitors generate more high-quality chances — away xG is 1.8 versus 1.54 for the hosts, and shots per game are 16.5 versus 12.5, although Kuressaare have more shots on target (6 vs 4). Defensively Harju’s superiority is pronounced: 50% clean sheets away and 0% of matches without scoring, compared to 0% clean sheets and 50% of matches without a goal for the hosts. Considering average points in the last five matches (1.8 vs 0.6), the goal difference and league positions (4th vs 9th), I forecast an away win and estimate their chance at approximately 70%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kuressaare | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.2 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Kuressaare · 1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Kuressaare scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kuressaare
Over / Under — Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Kuressaare · 1.3 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kuressaare
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Kuressaare | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 3.11 | • 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Kuressaare 1 - 1 - 3 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Kuressaare 3:2 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kuressaare and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Kuressaare won 1, Harju Jalgpallikool won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Kuressaare score 0.95 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.50. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kuressaare's matches and 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Kuressaare and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Kuressaare have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The statistical background for Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.