KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem: match statistics
KV Mechelen presents solid home form with 31% wins and only 23% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference (+1) in home matches. Zulte-Waregem performs significantly worse away, losing 46% of matches and holding a negative goal difference (-6), with only 15% of matches won as a guest. Form over the last five matches clearly favors the hosts (1.6 points per game) compared to the visitors (0.6 points per game), who have lost four of their last five games. xG statistics show an advantage for the hosts (1.31 vs 1.26 xGFor), as well as a better defense for KV Mechelen in home matches (1.15 goals conceded) than Zulte-Waregem away (1.85 goals conceded). The hosts' high draw percentage (46%) suggests a sharing of points cannot be ruled out, yet all indicators point to an advantage for KV Mechelen in this clash.
KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KV Mechelen played Zulte-Waregem in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
KV Mechelen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Zulte-Waregem: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
KV Mechelen scores 1.31 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Zulte-Waregem scores 1.38 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KV Mechelen 62%, Zulte-Waregem 65%. Over 2.5: KV Mechelen 35%, Zulte-Waregem 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Zulte-Waregem has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.27. KV Mechelen: 10.4 shots per match, Zulte-Waregem: 12.5.
Match halves
KV Mechelen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.62. Zulte-Waregem: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
KV Mechelen: 31-45+ (7 goals). Zulte-Waregem: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KV Mechelen presents solid home form with 31% wins and only 23% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference (+1) in home matches. Zulte-Waregem performs significantly worse away, losing 46% of matches and holding a negative goal difference (-6), with only 15% of matches won as a guest. Form over the last five matches clearly favors the hosts (1.6 points per game) compared to the visitors (0.6 points per game), who have lost four of their last five games. xG statistics show an advantage for the hosts (1.31 vs 1.26 xGFor), as well as a better defense for KV Mechelen in home matches (1.15 goals conceded) than Zulte-Waregem away (1.85 goals conceded). The hosts' high draw percentage (46%) suggests a sharing of points cannot be ruled out, yet all indicators point to an advantage for KV Mechelen in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KV Mechelen | Zulte-Waregem | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KV Mechelen is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - KV Mechelen · 0.6 pts / match - Zulte-Waregem
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zulte-Waregem is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - KV Mechelen · 1.38 goals / match - Zulte-Waregem
KV Mechelen is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - KV Mechelen · 1.62 goals / match - Zulte-Waregem
KV Mechelen scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Zulte-Waregem keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Zulte-Waregem scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
Over / Under - Zulte-Waregem
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / match - KV Mechelen · 1.15 pts / match - Zulte-Waregem
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zulte-Waregem - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KV Mechelen
Zulte-Waregem
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KV Mechelen | Liga | Zulte-Waregem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KV Mechelen 0 - 1 - 0 Zulte-Waregem. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem?
The Pro League match finished KV Mechelen 2:1 Zulte-Waregem. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem?
KV Mechelen score 1.31 goals per game on average and Zulte-Waregem 1.38. The Pro League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 62% of KV Mechelen's matches and 65% of Zulte-Waregem's.
What form are KV Mechelen and Zulte-Waregem in?
Over the last 5 games KV Mechelen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Zulte-Waregem 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KV Mechelen vs Zulte-Waregem?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.