KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liège: match statistics
KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liège: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KVC Westerlo played Standard Liège in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 19 May 2026. Venue: Het Kuipje. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
KVC Westerlo: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Standard Liège: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
KVC Westerlo scores 1.29 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Standard Liège scores 1.11 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KVC Westerlo 39%, Standard Liège 42%. Over 2.5: KVC Westerlo 42%, Standard Liège 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
KVC Westerlo has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.16. KVC Westerlo: 14.3 shots per match, Standard Liège: 9.9.
Match halves
KVC Westerlo: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.79. Standard Liège: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
KVC Westerlo: 61-75 (11 goals). Standard Liège: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). KVC Westerlo clearly creates more chances at home: average xG 1.64 and 14.74 shots with 4.58 shots on target per match, translating to 1.32 goals scored at home. Standard Liège is, however, more efficient with fewer attempts — conversion rate 14% with 9 shots and an average 1.26 goals away; additionally the visitors concede only 1.05 goals on average away versus 1.32 conceded by the hosts. In the last 5 matches Standard has 1.6 pts per game and scored 9 goals compared to Westerlo’s 1.4 pts and 8 goals, but higher possession (50% vs 43%) and higher xG for the hosts (1.64 vs 1.05) give Westerlo the edge in chance creation. Considering the superior quality of the home opportunities alongside the visitors’ efficiency, I expect a KVC Westerlo victory, albeit in a closely contested game.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS because Standard has a season BTTS rate of only 26% versus Westerlo’s 58%. The hosts concede 1.21 goals seasonally and 2.0 in the last 5 matches, while the visitors keep clean sheets in 37% of games and have conceded just 0.8 goals on average in their last 5, which significantly lowers Westerlo’s likelihood of scoring. Although Westerlo posts higher xG (1.28 vs 1.05) and more shots (10.74 vs 9.0), Standard’s finishing rate of 14% versus the hosts’ 9% and their recent attacking form (1.8 goals average over 5 matches) point to either visitor dominance or a clean sheet rather than Goal/Goal. Considering the league BTTS rate of 54% and the disparity in team seasonal metrics, I assess the probability of No BTTS at 62%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model (1.28 for Westerlo and 1.05 for Standard) and xG conceded (1.66 and 1.73) yield expected goals of 1.50 for the home side and 1.36 for the visitors, totaling 2.86. Season percentages of matches over 1.5 are 74% for Westerlo and 68% for Standard, and the league average is 2.67 goals per match, which strongly supports a scenario of at least 2 goals. In the last 5 matches the teams have averaged 1.6 (Westerlo) and 1.8 (Standard) goals, sum 3.4, and the over 2.5 rate in that period is 60% for both, further boosting goal probability. Long-term over 3.5 is rare (11% and 16%), so over 3.5 is a weaker signal, while over 2.5 I assess as moderate (≈55%) given xG 2.86 versus seasonal 47%/42% for over 2.5. On this basis I recommend an over 1.5 bet as the strongest signal (≈78%), based on xG 2.86 and seasonal 74%/68%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: Westerlo were level at the break in 11 of 19 matches (58%), and Standard were level at the break in 9 of 19 (47%), yielding an average HT draw probability of roughly 53%. Final victory is expected for Standard: the visitors have a 53% win rate this season versus 26% for the hosts and average 1.68 points per game compared to Westerlo’s 1.16. Although Westerlo produce higher xG (1.28 vs 1.05), Standard are more efficient in finishing chances (conversion 14% vs 9%), which explains the visitors’ edge in results. In addition, the second half favors Standard — they won the second half in 32% of cases versus 16% for Westerlo and average 1.32 post-break points compared to 1.00 for the hosts, so they more often seize the initiative after the interval. On this basis I select X/2 (draw HT, Standard win FT) as the strongest signal and assign it a 24% probability; the overall HT distribution is approximately 21% home lead, 53% draw and 26% away lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KVC Westerlo | Standard Liège | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Standard Liège is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - KVC Westerlo · 1.6 pts / match - Standard Liège
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KVC Westerlo is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - KVC Westerlo · 1.11 goals / match - Standard Liège
Standard Liège is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - KVC Westerlo · 1.13 goals / match - Standard Liège
KVC Westerlo scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Standard Liège keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Standard Liège scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while KVC Westerlo keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KVC Westerlo
Over / Under - Standard Liège
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KVC Westerlo is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - KVC Westerlo · 1.32 pts / match - Standard Liège
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KVC Westerlo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Standard Liège - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liège
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KVC Westerlo | Liga | Standard Liège | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.68 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 54% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 49% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): KVC Westerlo 1 - 1 - 1 Standard Liège. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liège?
The Pro League match finished KVC Westerlo 1:2 Standard Liège. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KVC Westerlo and Standard Liège?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches KVC Westerlo won 1, Standard Liège won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liège?
KVC Westerlo score 1.29 goals per game on average and Standard Liège 1.11. The Pro League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 39% of KVC Westerlo's matches and 42% of Standard Liège's.
What form are KVC Westerlo and Standard Liège in?
Over the last 5 games KVC Westerlo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Standard Liège 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liège?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.