Kwara United vs Barau: match statistics
Kwara United vs Barau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kwara United play Barau in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Kwara United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Barau: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kwara United scores 0.92 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Barau scores 0.89 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kwara United 34%, Barau 29%. Over 2.5: Kwara United 29%, Barau 26%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Barau has higher xG: 1.30 vs 0.99. Kwara United: 3.6 shots per match, Barau: 4.7.
Match halves
Kwara United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.34. Barau: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Kwara United: 31-45+ (10 goals). Barau: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back 1 — home win. Kwara United win 59% of home matches vs Barau’s 6% away win rate. Kwara average 1.24 goals per home game, 3.38 shots on target and ~10.25 total shots with an 11% conversion, while Barau average just 0.24 goals away, 1.92 shots on target and 4% conversion, and fail to score in 88% of away fixtures. Defensively hosts also outperform — conceding 0.41 goals per home match with xG against 0.93, whereas Barau concede 0.94 goals away and allow opponents an average xG of 1.41. In the last 5 matches Kwara scored 5 goals and average 1.6 points per game (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), Barau scored 4 goals and average 1.8 points per game (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), so the visitors are point-solid but lack away finishing. Considering Kwara’s superiority in shots, better conversion (11% vs 4%), higher share of clean sheets for the hosts (59% vs 41%) and Barau’s extremely high rate of goalless away games (88%), I assess probabilities as 70% home win, 20% draw, 10% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kwara United | Barau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.00 | 0.92 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barau is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.8 pts / match - Barau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barau is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Kwara United · 0.79 goals / match - Barau
Kwara United scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
Barau scores in 45% of matches (17 of 38 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kwara United
Over / Under — Barau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kwara United is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.18 pts / match - Barau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Barau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kwara United
Barau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kwara United | Liga | Barau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.87 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 38% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | • 37% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kwara United 0 - 0 - 1 Barau. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kwara United vs Barau?
The NPFL match finished Kwara United 2:1 Barau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Barau?
Kwara United score 0.92 goals per game on average and Barau 0.89. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Kwara United's matches and 29% of Barau's.
What form are Kwara United and Barau in?
Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Barau 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Barau?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.