Kwara United vs Nasarawa United: match statistics
Kwara United boast impressive form at their home ground, recording a 53% win rate and keeping clean sheets in 53% of their matches, which is a testament to their solid home defense. The hosts score an average of 1.13 goals per home game while conceding a mere 0.47, resulting in a positive goal difference of +10 on home turf. Nasarawa United, on the other hand, struggle immensely on the road - they have won just 20% of their away fixtures, failed to score in a staggering 60% of them, and their average of only 0.53 goals per away game is alarmingly low. Furthermore, the visitors hold a negative away goal difference of -9 and lose over half of their away matches (53%). Even though Nasarawa United sit higher in the league standings (3rd place), their away form and xG stats (0.99 For vs 1.65 Against) highlight significant issues away from home, presenting Kwara United with a realistic chance to secure all three points.
Kwara United vs Nasarawa United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kwara United play Nasarawa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Kwara United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Nasarawa United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kwara United scores 0.92 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Nasarawa United scores 0.97 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kwara United 34%, Nasarawa United 34%. Over 2.5: Kwara United 29%, Nasarawa United 32%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Nasarawa United has higher xG: 1.62 vs 0.99. Kwara United: 3.6 shots per match, Nasarawa United: 8.0.
Match halves
Kwara United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.34. Nasarawa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Kwara United: 31-45+ (10 goals). Nasarawa United: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Kwara United boast impressive form at their home ground, recording a 53% win rate and keeping clean sheets in 53% of their matches, which is a testament to their solid home defense. The hosts score an average of 1.13 goals per home game while conceding a mere 0.47, resulting in a positive goal difference of +10 on home turf. Nasarawa United, on the other hand, struggle immensely on the road - they have won just 20% of their away fixtures, failed to score in a staggering 60% of them, and their average of only 0.53 goals per away game is alarmingly low. Furthermore, the visitors hold a negative away goal difference of -9 and lose over half of their away matches (53%). Even though Nasarawa United sit higher in the league standings (3rd place), their away form and xG stats (0.99 For vs 1.65 Against) highlight significant issues away from home, presenting Kwara United with a realistic chance to secure all three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kwara United | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.00 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kwara United is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.2 pts / match - Nasarawa United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasarawa United is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Kwara United · 0.97 goals / match - Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Kwara United · 0.89 goals / match - Nasarawa United
Kwara United scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Nasarawa United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Nasarawa United scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kwara United
Over / Under — Nasarawa United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kwara United is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.24 pts / match - Nasarawa United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nasarawa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kwara United
Nasarawa United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kwara United | Liga | Nasarawa United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.87 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 38% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | • 37% | 37% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kwara United 0 - 1 - 0 Nasarawa United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?
The NPFL match finished Kwara United 1:0 Nasarawa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?
Kwara United score 0.92 goals per game on average and Nasarawa United 0.97. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Kwara United's matches and 34% of Nasarawa United's.
What form are Kwara United and Nasarawa United in?
Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nasarawa United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Nasarawa United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kwara United vs Nasarawa United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.