Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kwara United played Niger Tornadoes in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Kwara United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Niger Tornadoes: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kwara United scores 0.80 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Niger Tornadoes scores 1.20 and concedes 0.73. League average: 1.81 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kwara United 33%, Niger Tornadoes 27%. Over 2.5: Kwara United 20%, Niger Tornadoes 20%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 24%.

xG, shots and style

Niger Tornadoes has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.03. Kwara United: 3.5 shots per match, Niger Tornadoes: 7.1.

Match halves

Kwara United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Niger Tornadoes: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Kwara United: 76-90+ (5 goals). Niger Tornadoes: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 1.81 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 24%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
14Shots8
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
5Shots on target1
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
1.51xG0.88
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
4Corners1
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
39Dangerous attacks41
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
10Fouls12
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0Cards0
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.8Goals scored / match1.2
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.8Goals conceded / match0.73
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
23%Average possession30%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.67Shots on target / match2.53
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.53Shots per match7.07
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.67Shots on target2.53
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
22.6%Shot conversion17%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
23%Possession30%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
1.03xG for1.48
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
1.43xG against1.63
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

Shooting quality

Kwara United: Counter-attackingNiger Tornadoes: Counter-attacking
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
Accuracy (shots on target)19%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.21
Finishing (goals per shot on target)1.190.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Niger Tornadoes is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.2 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes

Kwara United
WDLDL
Season result split
27% W40% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-5
1.20 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Niger Tornadoes
LLWLW
Season result split
47% W13% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-6
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Niger Tornadoes is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - Kwara United · 1.2 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes

Niger Tornadoes is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Kwara United · 0.73 goals / match - Niger Tornadoes

Kwara United scoring profile: mixed

Kwara United scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while Niger Tornadoes keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

Niger Tornadoes scoring profile: strong

Niger Tornadoes scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

12Goals scored (season)18
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
12Goals conceded (season)11
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
1.6Average goals in match1.93
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
6Goals scored (last 5)4
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

How often they score at least...

47%1 goal67%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
27%2 goals27%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
7%3 goals13%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0%4 goals13%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal60%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
13%2 goals13%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
7%3 goals0%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0%4 goals0%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time7%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
27%Scored in both halves20%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
60%BTTS - last 520%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

2nd half

47%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Niger Tornadoes is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.8 pts / match - Niger Tornadoes

Kwara United - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing
Niger Tornadoes - half-time state
47% leading40% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.8
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.87Average goals (1st half)0.93
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
60%Clean sheet before half-time80%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
60%No goal before half-time47%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.13
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
0.73Average goals (2nd half)1
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
67%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes
67%No goal after half-time67%
Kwara UnitedNiger Tornadoes

Kwara United - second-half results

20% W67% D13% L
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Niger Tornadoes - second-half results

27% W33% D40% L
27
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kwara United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Niger Tornadoes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kwara United
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
4
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Niger Tornadoes
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kwara United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

Niger Tornadoes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.90
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
214%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 28% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

Kwara UnitedLigaNiger Tornadoes
Average goals in match 1.601.81 1.93
Both teams scored 33%36% 27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 20%24% 20%
Clean sheets 40%38% 40%
Goal before half-time 60%63% 67%
Goal after half-time 47%57% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.81
Average goals per match
36%
Both teams scored
24%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.24
Home goals / match
0.56
Away goals / match
+121%
Home attack advantage
+55%
Home defence advantage
+47%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

FAQ

What was the result of Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes?

The NPFL match finished Kwara United 2:0 Niger Tornadoes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Kwara United score 0.80 goals per game on average and Niger Tornadoes 1.20. The NPFL average is 1.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 24% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kwara United's matches and 27% of Niger Tornadoes's.

What form are Kwara United and Niger Tornadoes in?

Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Niger Tornadoes 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kwara United vs Niger Tornadoes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.