Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees: match statistics
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Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kwara United play Ranchers Bees in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 4 October 2026. Venue: Ilorin Township Stadium.
Current form
Kwara United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ranchers Bees: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kwara United scores 1.17 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ranchers Bees scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kwara United 33%, Ranchers Bees 50%. Over 2.5: Kwara United 50%, Ranchers Bees 67%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Ranchers Bees has higher xG: 1.13 vs 0.57. Kwara United: -0.2 shots per match, Ranchers Bees: 4.7.
Match halves
Kwara United: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Ranchers Bees: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Kwara United: 46-60 (2 goals). Ranchers Bees: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kwara United | Ranchers Bees | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 0% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.00 | 0.24 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ranchers Bees is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Kwara United · 1.4 pts / match - Ranchers Bees
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ranchers Bees is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Kwara United · 1.33 goals / match - Ranchers Bees
Kwara United is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Kwara United · 1.33 goals / match - Ranchers Bees
Kwara United scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Ranchers Bees keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Ranchers Bees scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Kwara United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kwara United
Over / Under - Ranchers Bees
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ranchers Bees is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Kwara United · 1 pts / match - Ranchers Bees
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kwara United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ranchers Bees - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kwara United
Ranchers Bees
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kwara United | Liga | Ranchers Bees | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 33% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Kwara United and Ranchers Bees play?
Kwara United face Ranchers Bees on 4 October 2026 in NPFL at Ilorin Township Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees?
Kwara United score 1.17 goals per game on average and Ranchers Bees 1.33. The NPFL average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kwara United's matches and 50% of Ranchers Bees's.
What form are Kwara United and Ranchers Bees in?
Over the last 5 games Kwara United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ranchers Bees 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kwara United vs Ranchers Bees?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.