Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay: match statistics
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kyzyl-Zhar played Altay in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Kyzyl-Zhar: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Altay: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kyzyl-Zhar scores 1.22 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Altay scores 0.33 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kyzyl-Zhar 44%, Altay 33%. Over 2.5: Kyzyl-Zhar 56%, Altay 11%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Kyzyl-Zhar has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.08. Kyzyl-Zhar: 9.7 shots per match, Altay: 9.7.
Match halves
Kyzyl-Zhar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 1.11. Altay: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Kyzyl-Zhar: 46-60 (4 goals). Altay: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Kyzyl-Zhar win. The hosts average 1.8 goals per home match and convert 19% of shots into goals with 4.4 on-target shots per game, while Altay score only 0.5 goals away and have a 5% conversion rate. xG indicates similar creative output (Kyzyl-Zhar xG 1.17 at home vs Altay 1.22 away), but the visitors fail to turn that into goals — they keep a 0-goal return in 50% of away matches, whereas the hosts fail to score in only 20% of cases. Defensively the hosts concede 1.2 goals at home on average and Altay concede 1.0 away, yet Kyzyl-Zhar have a positive home goal difference (+3) and 20% clean sheets versus 0% for Altay on the road. Although Altay have 1.2 points per game in their last five matches compared to 0.6 for the hosts, Kyzyl-Zhar’s attacking efficiency and Altay’s poor away conversion lead me to rate the hosts with higher win probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Primary signals favor No BTTS: Kyzyl-Zhar averages only 0.2 goals per home game and keeps a clean sheet in 60% of home matches. Altay has a season BTTS rate of 50% and 0% clean sheets on the road, but their away scoring average is only 0.5, which limits the likelihood of both teams scoring simultaneously. xG data indicate moderate scoring chances: home xG 0.98 vs. away 1.22, and the league has a low goals-per-game average of 2.05 with a high clean sheet rate of 64%. Although Kyzyl-Zhar registered BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals, this appears to be a short-term anomaly compared to the season-long 20% BTTS and 60% home clean sheets. Additionally, low shot and conversion numbers (home 2.4 shots on target and 2% conversion, away 3.5 shots on target and 5% conversion) confirm limited attacking efficiency, so I favor 'No' (No BTTS) as more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects expected goals of 1.15 for home side Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.22 for away side Altay, totaling 2.37 goals. The calculation is based on xG: home attack xG 0.98, away attack xG 1.22, and xG against of 1.22 (Kyzyl-Zhar) and 1.31 (Altay), which yields these expected values. Altay clearly has the superior attacking quality: on average 11.0 shots and 3.5 shots on target with a 5.0% conversion rate, versus 8.6 shots, 2.4 shots on target and a 2.0% conversion for the hosts, increasing the likelihood of goals from the visitors. Seasonal metrics show few matches over 2.5 goals (Kyzyl-Zhar 20%, Altay 0%), but the last 5 matches produced 4 goals for the home team and 5 for the away, so the Poisson model translates the 2.37 expected goals into approximately a 69% chance of Over 1.5, 42% for Over 2.5 and 22% for Over 3.5. Given the xG advantage and higher volume of shooting opportunities, the best betting signal is Over 1.5 (over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I project a half-time draw and a full-time draw (X/X) as the most likely scenario. Kyzyl-Zhar averages only 0.2 goals per match versus Altay’s 0.5, with xG of 0.98 for the home side and 1.22 for the visitors, indicating low goal output from both teams. The hosts have 60% clean sheets this season and 80% of halves without conceding at the break, and they draw 60% of their matches, so a high incidence of draws and low half-time scores is justified. Altay creates more opportunities (11.0 shots and 3.5 on target per match vs. the home side’s 8.6 and 2.4), so an alternative scenario is a half-time draw and an away turnaround to win (X/2), but their shot conversion rate of 5.0% does not provide a strong shift in momentum. Considering recent form over the last five matches (hosts: 'lwlll' = 1 win, 4 losses; visitors: 'dwldd' = 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), the strongest signal remains X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kyzyl-Zhar | Altay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 0.6 pts / match - Altay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 270% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 0.33 goals / match - Altay
Altay is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 0.78 goals / match - Altay
Kyzyl-Zhar scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Altay scores in 33% of matches (3 of 9 matches), while Kyzyl-Zhar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kyzyl-Zhar
Over / Under - Altay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kyzyl-Zhar is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 0.56 pts / match - Altay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kyzyl-Zhar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Altay - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kyzyl-Zhar
Altay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kyzyl-Zhar | Liga | Altay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.22 | 2.05 | ▼ 1.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 34% | ▼ 11% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kyzyl-Zhar 1:2 Altay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay?
Kyzyl-Zhar score 1.22 goals per game on average and Altay 0.33. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Kyzyl-Zhar's matches and 33% of Altay's.
What form are Kyzyl-Zhar and Altay in?
Over the last 5 games Kyzyl-Zhar have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Altay 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Altay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.