Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey: match statistics
Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kyzyl-Zhar play Yelimay Semey in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 4 July 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Stadion Karasay. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Kyzyl-Zhar: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Yelimay Semey: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kyzyl-Zhar scores 1.00 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Yelimay Semey scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kyzyl-Zhar 44%, Yelimay Semey 65%. Over 2.5: Kyzyl-Zhar 50%, Yelimay Semey 53%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Yelimay Semey has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.18. Kyzyl-Zhar: 10.0 shots per match, Yelimay Semey: 14.2.
Match halves
Kyzyl-Zhar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.72. Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Kyzyl-Zhar: 76-90+ (6 goals). Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I forecast a Yelimay Semey victory: the visitors sit 5th with a 6-5-4 record and 23 goals scored, while Kyzyl-Zhar are 13th (4-3-9) with 17 goals. In their last 5 matches Yelimay scored 9 goals and won 3/5, averaging 1.8 points per game, whereas Kyzyl-Zhar have only 5 goals and 1 win in their last 5, averaging 0.6 pts per game. Defensively the hosts look weaker — they conceded 13 goals in the last 5 (2.6 per game) vs. the visitors’ 8 (1.6); at home Kyzyl-Zhar concede 1.75 goals per game compared to Yelimay’s 1.29 conceded away. The visitors also generate better chances: average xG for Yelimay is 1.61 vs. 1.27 for the hosts, and shot volume/accuracy is 13.29 and 5.57 on target for the visitors vs. 10.13 and 4.75 for the hosts, indicating superiority in both quality and quantity of opportunities. Although the hosts have higher shot conversion (19% vs. 14%) and typically score 1.88 goals at home versus the visitors’ 1.86 away, the form balance, superior xG and the visitors’ more robust defense favor a Yelimay win; I propose probability distribution 20% home, 20% draw, 60% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kyzyl-Zhar | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Yelimay Semey is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.2 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yelimay Semey is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.47 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Yelimay Semey is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.29 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Kyzyl-Zhar scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
Yelimay Semey scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Kyzyl-Zhar keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Kyzyl-Zhar
Over / Under — Yelimay Semey
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yelimay Semey is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Kyzyl-Zhar · 1.24 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kyzyl-Zhar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kyzyl-Zhar
Yelimay Semey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kyzyl-Zhar | Liga | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.44 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kyzyl-Zhar 0 - 1 - 2 Yelimay Semey. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kyzyl-Zhar 0:1 Yelimay Semey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kyzyl-Zhar and Yelimay Semey?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kyzyl-Zhar won 0, Yelimay Semey won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey?
Kyzyl-Zhar score 1.00 goals per game on average and Yelimay Semey 1.47. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Kyzyl-Zhar's matches and 65% of Yelimay Semey's.
What form are Kyzyl-Zhar and Yelimay Semey in?
Over the last 5 games Kyzyl-Zhar have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Yelimay Semey 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.