La Equidad vs Junior: match statistics
La Equidad vs Junior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
La Equidad played Junior in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
La Equidad: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Junior: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
La Equidad scores 1.31 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Junior scores 1.46 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: La Equidad 62%, Junior 54%. Over 2.5: La Equidad 62%, Junior 62%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Junior has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.29. La Equidad: 12.5 shots per match, Junior: 13.5.
Match halves
La Equidad: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77. Junior: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
La Equidad: 46-60 (5 goals). Junior: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I tip a home win: La Equidad hold an offensive and control advantage at home. At home they record higher xG and goals (1.49 xG, 1.67 goals) than Junior away (1.29 xG, 1.5 goals), and better shot metrics. Possession (56% vs 53%) and more shots (15 vs 11.8) show La Equidad’s attacking initiative. However lower last-5 PPG for hosts (0.8) vs Junior (1.4) and visitor form variability temper the prediction. Defensively both sides are similar (GA home 1.17 vs away 1.5), so a draw is possible. Considering the home edge, I assign higher probability to La Equidad’s win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Analysis shows moderately high BTTS probability, driven by Junior’s profile and league trend. Junior season BTTS 67% and xG_against 1.5 indicate frequent goals conceded; La Equidad, despite higher xG_for (1.58), also concedes significantly. Both teams in last 5 score and concede (gf_l5 3 vs 5, ga_l5 6 vs 8), and league BTTS ~56%. Given increased likelihood of mutual scoring and defensive form, recommend BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stats show clear attacking profiles for both teams: xG 1.58 (La Equidad) vs 1.29 (Junior) and high season goal averages yield total expected ~2.87. Both teams have 100% season occurrences over 0.5 and 1.5 goals, strongly favoring the 1.5 over line. Probability for Over 2.5 is also notable (home 57%, away 67% over2.5 seasonally), giving a moderate indication for Over 2.5. Chance of Over 3.5 is low per season metrics (14–17%). Conclusion: strongest signal is Over 1.5 with high probability of success.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
La Equidad shows an HT advantage (leadingAtHTPercentage_home 57%, concededAVGHT_home 0.57) suggesting they more often lead after 45 minutes. Season overall metrics and xG favor the hosts (seasonPPG_home 1.86, xg_for_avg_home 1.58 vs away 1.29), raising the likelihood of maintaining the lead and winning. Junior has higher BTTS and offensive potential, giving moderate chances of a turnaround or second-half draw. Considering distribution of second-half results and last-5 form, the selection is 1/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| La Equidad | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Junior is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - La Equidad · 1.4 pts / match - Junior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Junior is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - La Equidad · 1.46 goals / match - Junior
La Equidad scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
Junior scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Equidad
Over / Under - Junior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - La Equidad · 1.77 pts / match - Junior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Equidad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Junior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
La Equidad
Junior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| La Equidad | Liga | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.69 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): La Equidad 0 - 1 - 1 Junior. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of La Equidad vs Junior?
The Categoria Primera A match finished La Equidad 0:1 Junior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Equidad and Junior?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 0, Junior won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Equidad vs Junior?
La Equidad score 1.31 goals per game on average and Junior 1.46. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of La Equidad's matches and 54% of Junior's.
What form are La Equidad and Junior in?
Over the last 5 games La Equidad have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Junior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Equidad vs Junior?
The statistical background for La Equidad vs Junior — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.