La Equidad vs Millonarios: match statistics
La Equidad demonstrates significantly superior home form with a 67% win rate at their own ground and remains undefeated at home this season. The hosts hold the advantage in key offensive metrics, averaging 1.67 goals per game with 5.67 shots on target, while Millonarios in away matches score only 0.67 goals on average and register just 2.33 shots on target. The visitors' away form is alarming - a 67% loss rate and zero away victories this season, which, coupled with their recent lld streak, points to serious issues. Furthermore, La Equidad dominates possession (53% vs 38%) and boasts a superior xG balance (1.44 vs 0.98), underlining their qualitative edge. Considering all statistics, a home victory is the most probable outcome, although Millonarios' solid overall form in their last five matches (wwddl) could see them battle for a draw.
La Equidad vs Millonarios: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
La Equidad played Millonarios in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
La Equidad: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Millonarios: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
La Equidad scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Millonarios scores 0.86 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: La Equidad 71%, Millonarios 57%. Over 2.5: La Equidad 71%, Millonarios 57%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
La Equidad has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.19. La Equidad: 12.7 shots per match, Millonarios: 12.1.
Match halves
La Equidad: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Millonarios: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
La Equidad: 31-45+ (3 goals). Millonarios: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
La Equidad demonstrates significantly superior home form with a 67% win rate at their own ground and remains undefeated at home this season. The hosts hold the advantage in key offensive metrics, averaging 1.67 goals per game with 5.67 shots on target, while Millonarios in away matches score only 0.67 goals on average and register just 2.33 shots on target. The visitors' away form is alarming - a 67% loss rate and zero away victories this season, which, coupled with their recent lld streak, points to serious issues. Furthermore, La Equidad dominates possession (53% vs 38%) and boasts a superior xG balance (1.44 vs 0.98), underlining their qualitative edge. Considering all statistics, a home victory is the most probable outcome, although Millonarios' solid overall form in their last five matches (wwddl) could see them battle for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| La Equidad | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
La Equidad is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - La Equidad · 1.6 pts / match - Millonarios
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Equidad is 83% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - La Equidad · 0.86 goals / match - Millonarios
Millonarios is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - La Equidad · 1 goals / match - Millonarios
La Equidad scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Millonarios scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while La Equidad keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - La Equidad
Over / Under - Millonarios
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
La Equidad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
La Equidad
Millonarios
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| La Equidad | Liga | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.51 | ▼ 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): La Equidad 1 - 0 - 1 Millonarios. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of La Equidad vs Millonarios?
The Categoria Primera A match finished La Equidad 3:2 Millonarios. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between La Equidad and Millonarios?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 1, Millonarios won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before La Equidad vs Millonarios?
La Equidad score 1.57 goals per game on average and Millonarios 0.86. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 71% of La Equidad's matches and 57% of Millonarios's.
What form are La Equidad and Millonarios in?
Over the last 5 games La Equidad have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Millonarios 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for La Equidad vs Millonarios?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.