LA Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps: match statistics
LA Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
LA Galaxy played Vancouver Whitecaps in MLS (United States). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
LA Galaxy: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Vancouver Whitecaps: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
LA Galaxy scores 1.50 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Vancouver Whitecaps scores 2.78 and concedes 0.56. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: LA Galaxy 90%, Vancouver Whitecaps 33%. Over 2.5: LA Galaxy 80%, Vancouver Whitecaps 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Vancouver Whitecaps has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.65. LA Galaxy: 14.2 shots per match, Vancouver Whitecaps: 18.0.
Match halves
LA Galaxy: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. Vancouver Whitecaps: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
LA Galaxy: 0-15 (5 goals). Vancouver Whitecaps: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Vancouver Whitecaps). Vancouver have 8 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss this season and a 100% away win rate, while LA Galaxy at home have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. The visitors have scored 25 goals this season (11 in the last 5 matches), averaging 4.0 goals per away match, versus the hosts’ 15 goals (7 in the last 5) and 1.6 goals at home, indicating a clear attacking advantage for Vancouver. Vancouver’s efficiency is confirmed by a 24% conversion rate and 8 shots on target per match versus LA’s 11% and 7.4 shots on target; average xG is 2.00 for Vancouver away compared to 1.82 for LA at home, while xG against is 0.79 vs 1.19, which further favors the visitors in terms of defense and quality of chances. Considering form as well (Vancouver 4 wins in the last 5 and 2.4 points per game vs LA 2 wins and 1.4 points), I assess a high probability of an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes based on strong scoring signals from both sides: Vancouver has a season BTTS of 100% and has scored 25 goals this season (avg 4.0 per match), and in the last 5 matches they average 2.2 goals (11 in 5). Although LA Galaxy maintain many clean sheets this season (63% of matches without conceding and an avg 0.5 goals conceded per match), their last-5 form shows the opposite trend — they concede 1.8 goals on average and have BTTS in 80% of those games. Additionally, recent xG favors Vancouver: last 5 xG are 2.1 for the away side versus 1.23 for the home side, while season xG are similar (2.04 vs 2.0), suggesting both teams will create chances. Considering the league BTTS trend of 57% and the fact that seasonal and recent forms favor goals from Vancouver and a weakened LA defense over the last five matches, I estimate BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG of both teams is 2.04 (LA Galaxy) + 2.00 (Vancouver) = 4.04, which suggests an expected goal total above 4.0. Seasonal stats show Vancouver’s matches ended Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 in 100% of cases, while LA’s matches finished Over 2.5 in 63% and Over 3.5 in 38%; this is a strong signal for a high aggregate goal count. Vancouver averages 4.0 goals per game and LA 2.63, while LA also has a 63% clean sheet rate which theoretically reduces the frequency of BTTS, but Vancouver’s season data indicate BTTS in 100% of their matches. An xG-based model (total xG 4.04) yields distributional probabilities P(>2.5) ≈77% and P(>3.5) ≈57% (Poisson). However, given Vancouver’s 100% Over 2.5/3.5 and LA’s 100% Over 2.5 in the last 5 matches, I adjust estimates to Over 2.5 ≈86% and Over 3.5 ≈68%. Therefore I recommend backing Over 2.5 as the best line: the combination of xG=4.04, Vancouver’s season-long 100% record and LA’s 63% supports the strongest and most consistent signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
LA Galaxy led at the break in 63% of their matches and scores on average 1.75 goals before half-time, while Vancouver averages 1.0 goal by the break and led at the break in 60% of their last 5 matches. Home xG is 2.04 versus 2.00 for the away side, and shots on target are 7 versus 8, indicating a similar number of chances; historically, however, more goals have been scored before the break by LA Galaxy (18 first-half goals versus 1 for the visitors). Seasonally LA Galaxy wins 88% of matches and concedes on average 0.5 goals per game, which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead; at the same time Vancouver are in good form (80% wins in the last 5). As a result the most likely scenario is 1/1 (I assign this a 50% probability), other reasonable options are 1/X (9%) and 2/2 (17%) given the even xG and the visitors’ offensive form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| LA Galaxy | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - LA Galaxy · 2.4 pts / match - Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vancouver Whitecaps is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - LA Galaxy · 2.78 goals / match - Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps is 186% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - LA Galaxy · 0.56 goals / match - Vancouver Whitecaps
LA Galaxy scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Vancouver Whitecaps keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
Vancouver Whitecaps scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while LA Galaxy keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - LA Galaxy
Over / Under - Vancouver Whitecaps
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vancouver Whitecaps is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - LA Galaxy · 2.11 pts / match - Vancouver Whitecaps
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
LA Galaxy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vancouver Whitecaps - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 89%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
LA Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| LA Galaxy | Liga | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.10 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 90% | 58% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 24% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of LA Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The MLS match finished LA Galaxy 1:1 Vancouver Whitecaps. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before LA Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
LA Galaxy score 1.50 goals per game on average and Vancouver Whitecaps 2.78. The MLS average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 90% of LA Galaxy's matches and 33% of Vancouver Whitecaps's.
What form are LA Galaxy and Vancouver Whitecaps in?
Over the last 5 games LA Galaxy have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vancouver Whitecaps 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for LA Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for LA Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


